Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a4ce205ca6dcfe2fb3adba1a2d690b6cbf09cda59695fab0539ad8fc0c63fcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 37c | 5,312$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.95 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Over | 64c | 4,708$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 40c | 758.5$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.1 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Over | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…57e1backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 28c | 194.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 37c | 123.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 29c | 115.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 37c | 114.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 38c | 85.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 60c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3efc…72a2backed Over | 64c | 39.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 38c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 62c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…1fa6backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5 Cornersthis page
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Team to Take First CornerBelgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.