Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95a1a35c68caa4393bf3aa6b299aca8874e57c077dea419727ed5397bcd9b7bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $333,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 28c | 9,202$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.88 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 20c | 9,159$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.6 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 53c | 8,952$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.99 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 22c | 6,952$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 23c | 6,803$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.63 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 25c | 6,523$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.06 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked No | 65c | 6,503$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.49 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed No | 69c | 6,059$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.15 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 27c | 5,578$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.24 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 29c | 4,910$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.23 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 25c | 4,773$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.15 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 20c | 4,757$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.92 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…2a61backed Yes | 11c | 4,608$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 29c | 4,526$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.17 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 12c | 4,398$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.53 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 13c | 4,380$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.5 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed Yes | 30c | 3,596$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.22 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 27c | 3,433$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.98 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 32c | 3,264$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.67 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ee…b403backed Yes | 22c | 3,210$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed No | 70c | 2,864$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.25 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 80c | 2,800$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.97 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 2,800$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.78 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 19c | 2,775$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.16 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked No | 71c | 2,611$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.82 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,501$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.3 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 68c | 2,466$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.36 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…ec90backed Yes | 8c | 2,406$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 55c | 2,272$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.63 | 115 | 9.6%11 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…5a68backed Yes | 9c | 2,173$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 36c | 2,135$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.32 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 1,919$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.26 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,872$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.41 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0328backed Yes | 11c | 1,846$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.59 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 18c | 1,810$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 67c | 1,688$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.65 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 60c | 1,650$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 39c | 1,592$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.08 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 41c | 1,422$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.16 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 14c | 1,404$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,342$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.61 | 187 | 26.7%50 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 24c | 1,319$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.52 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed Yes | 9c | 1,289$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 751 | 22.2%167 W · 584 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…1ecdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,234$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.88 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed No | 76c | 1,221$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.26 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…17e5backed Yes | 29c | 1,210$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.51 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 65c | 1,190$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.47 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 36c | 1,173$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.23 | 316 | 24.7%78 W · 238 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 24c | 1,099$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.36 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 25c | 1,050$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.95 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 1,050$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 13c | 1,034$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.63 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 17c | 1,010$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.73 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 149 | 23.5%35 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.13 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7de…537abacked Yes | 7c | 999.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e6d3backed No | 76c | 991.13$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.07 | 144 | 27.1%39 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 10c | 986.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 217 | 6%13 W · 204 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes | 69c | 971.71$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.52 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked No | 43c | 938.16$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.14 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…c39abacked Yes | 5c | 899.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 182 | 18.7%34 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 27c | 865$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.75 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes | 20c | 847.7$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 332 | 31%103 W · 229 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 69c | 806.42$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.7 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…dcdebacked Yes | 10c | 783.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 212 | 22.2%47 W · 165 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 32c | 780.74$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.06 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 41c | 727.67$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.23 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 15c | 697.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes | 52c | 657.98$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.32 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…0d4ebacked Yes | 14c | 647.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed No | 64c | 629.49$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes | 8c | 615.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 28.2%50 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 42c | 608.79$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.27 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…f7ffbacked No | 77c | 591.28$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…c676backed No | 76c | 590.3$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 32c | 583.76$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.97 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked Yes | 29c | 580$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 9c | 569.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 53c | 569.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.2 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 64c | 548.37$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.04 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…0261backed Yes | 20c | 543.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 10c | 522$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 139 | 17.3%24 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 40c | 520.55$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.78 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 30c | 515$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 11c | 509.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 10c | 500.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 152 | 21.1%32 W · 120 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…8fcebacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…273dbacked Yes | 17c | 500$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 204 | 32.4%66 W · 138 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…0c07backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b27…7908backed Yes | 32c | 499.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.45 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 10c | 485$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…0d90backed Yes | 7c | 482.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…c7cbbacked No | 77c | 466$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…2eb1backed Yes | 30c | 464.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4500…115dbacked Yes | 14c | 463.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.