Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b3f0b50bad6986378d09026c7fa84ef913063a80c729adb1761e3a74f5655b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $294,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 1c | 22,222$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.18 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed No | 9c | 10,409$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.65 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked No | 1c | 8,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 240 | 1.7%4 W · 236 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +675.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 35c | 7,820$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085.06 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 36c | 6,390$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.76 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 17c | 5,751$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.38 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 16c | 5,274$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.72 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 67c | 4,808$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.17 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 61c | 4,691$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.15 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 34c | 4,478$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.04 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 32c | 4,029$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.13 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked No | 1c | 3,700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 10c | 3,671$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.44 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed No | 1c | 3,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 23c | 2,938$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.3 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 19c | 2,892$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.02 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 32c | 2,794$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.35 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed No | 28c | 2,781$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.95 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 27c | 2,608$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.4 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 14c | 2,378$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.24 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 29c | 2,285$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.11 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 37c | 2,214$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.4 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked No | 31c | 2,031$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.82 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 37c | 1,688$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.81 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 73c | 1,661$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.14 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 42c | 1,566$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 28c | 1,524$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.43 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked No | 16c | 1,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 65c | 1,493$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.62 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…924ebacked No | 74c | 1,441$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.26 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,419$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.13 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…c181backed Yes | 41c | 1,169$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.57 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked No | 19c | 1,120$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.75 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,100$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.65 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 71c | 1,092$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.11 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 1,050$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.15 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 57c | 913$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.23 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…2ffbbacked No | 14c | 908.12$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 29c | 877.71$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.72 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 21c | 848.37$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.12 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 24c | 825.8$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.73 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 14c | 822.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 74c | 770.52$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.72 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 19c | 739.43$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.74 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 51c | 697.27$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.58 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 33c | 690$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.96 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 46c | 660.24$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.72 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 658.43$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.48 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked No | 51c | 647.88$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.18 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 11c | 637.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 45c | 622.22$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.99 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed Yes | 64c | 594.94$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.96 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…c601backed Yes | 51c | 581.01$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.01 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 39c | 552.3$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa808…6e5dbacked Yes | 75c | 548.57$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…0c26backed No | 7c | 543.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 13c | 528.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 515.84$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…20e6backed Yes | 59c | 508$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 22c | 505.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 10c | 502.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 34c | 499.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 59c | 499.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 41c | 480.65$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.53 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 52c | 464.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.97 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 460.99$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.03 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 50c | 449.29$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 26c | 440.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 58c | 419.57$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.63 | 115 | 9.6%11 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked No | 59c | 400.89$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.2 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed No | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked No | 29c | 399.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.21 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 76c | 379.19$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 59c | 375.54$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.63 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 20c | 367.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes | 47c | 366.94$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.72 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 48c | 366.77$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.77 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes | 29c | 349.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes | 53c | 343.6$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.34 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4288…00e8backed No | 73c | 340.8$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.78 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 68c | 336.72$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.95 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 43c | 336$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 78c | 313.26$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 245 | 24.9%61 W · 184 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…128ebacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 22c | 304.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Yes | 34c | 295.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.41 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 20c | 292.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…c676backed No | 34c | 274.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7813backed Yes | 65c | 247.59$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 159 | 28.3%45 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…ec01backed No | 66c | 236$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.76 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 55c | 218.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 12c | 201.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e0…7902backed Yes | 15c | 200.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 31c | 200.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bd…aff2backed Yes | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…523bbacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.