Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ecde48db86e330ff8b29ee15b3c7fa513c29c55279aa7aa806ec5deb2ca379b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 2c | 26,360$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.36 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 4c | 21,921$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.45 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes | 1c | 18,702$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 144 | 27.1%39 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…95b4backed Yes | 0c | 9,547$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 1c | 9,073$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,833$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 2c | 8,612$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.64 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 2c | 7,899$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.67 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,398$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 0c | 6,987$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 246 | 17.5%43 W · 203 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Yes | 0c | 6,421$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 202 | 26.7%54 W · 148 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…0c26backed Yes | 2c | 6,026$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,998$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,555$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 278 | 5%14 W · 264 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 2c | 5,552$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 2c | 5,523$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 2c | 5,379$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…dcdebacked Yes | 1c | 5,182$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 211 | 22.3%47 W · 164 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 0c | 5,001$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 797 | 11.3%90 W · 707 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,858$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 2c | 4,841$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,474$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 3c | 4,262$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 2c | 4,047$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 1,060 | 8.4%89 W · 971 L | +29.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 5c | 3,732$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,088$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea85…efe5backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 5c | 2,852$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,566$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…0484backed Yes | 4c | 2,382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…57b2backed Yes | 1c | 2,270$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 84 | 9.5%8 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +105%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 1c | 2,175$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 149 | 23.5%35 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,129$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 6c | 1,894$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.62 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 3c | 1,865$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed Yes | 2c | 1,864$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 1c | 1,860$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…eb72backed Yes | 1c | 1,838$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 6c | 1,723$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 3c | 1,698$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…885fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,588$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac32…6e3bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…28b8backed Yes | 2c | 1,292$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 2c | 1,258$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 2c | 1,243$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 1,225$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Yes | 2c | 1,137$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…8fcebacked Yes | 3c | 1,129$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…c181backed Yes | 2c | 1,021$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 2c | 999.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 5c | 995.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 386 | 48.2%186 W · 200 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…117bbacked Yes | 11c | 948.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…1c56backed Yes | 5c | 935.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 8c | 932.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 312 | 24.7%77 W · 235 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba75…adb4backed Yes | 1c | 878.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes | 6c | 836$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 28.2%50 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes | 9c | 810.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 212 | 22.2%47 W · 165 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 5c | 809.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 115 | 9.6%11 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 3c | 712.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5619…9446backed Yes | 2c | 650$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c4…fcb2backed Yes | 2c | 556.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 2c | 549.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 3c | 499.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 4c | 488.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes | 3c | 461.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 3c | 433.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 100 | 8%8 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 3c | 369$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c6…ad4bbacked Yes | 6c | 364.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes | 7c | 359.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 653 | 11%72 W · 581 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 5c | 354.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 5c | 352.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409c…9ac8backed Yes | 3c | 343.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 121 | 24%29 W · 92 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 9c | 340.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 5c | 340.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 171 | 26.9%46 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…460bbacked Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 264 | 18.6%49 W · 215 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Yes | 5c | 291.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 199 | 33.2%66 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 289.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 4c | 284.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1,036 | 11.1%115 W · 921 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 5c | 277.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 574 | 20.9%120 W · 454 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 8c | 263.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886c…6af3backed Yes | 5c | 243.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 5c | 223.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…d18cbacked Yes | 6c | 195.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 58 | 5.2%3 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.