TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Anyone's Legendof Anyone's Legend, EDward Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,934
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,934 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Anyone's Legend70c3,708$2,595 inWon+$1,112.4564749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed EDward Gaming30c2,962$889 inLost-$888.666241.9%26 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Anyone's Legend70c2,000$1,400 inWon+$60047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed EDward Gaming30c1,470$441 inLost-$4415133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed EDward Gaming29c1,310$380 inLost-$379.8425143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…84aabacked Anyone's Legend71c1,310$930 inWon+$379.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed Anyone's Legend71c1,100$781 inWon+$3191450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed EDward Gaming29c1,100$319 inLost-$3191729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ab…e495backed EDward Gaming30c766.67$230 inLost-$2302339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed EDward Gaming30c675.13$200 inLost-$20039541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Anyone's Legend71c630.85$448 inWon+$182.9526360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed EDward Gaming29c537.56$157 inLost-$156.8320631.6%65 W · 141 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd8c…dfbebacked EDward Gaming30c476.86$143 inLost-$1434452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked EDward Gaming13c476.86$62 inLost-$61.9944743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed EDward Gaming6c476.86$29 inLost-$28.6137948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed EDward Gaming29c369.09$107 inLost-$106.642,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed EDward Gaming27c367.22$101 inLost-$100.951,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Anyone's Legend69c304.06$210 inWon+$93.7632755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Anyone's Legend72c295.14$213 inWon+$81.9732653.4%174 W · 152 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Anyone's Legend70c241.9$169 inWon+$72.9167552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed EDward Gaming30c240$72 inLost-$7274637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed EDward Gaming30c233.33$70 inLost-$701,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Anyone's Legend72c225$162 inWon+$639668.8%66 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed EDward Gaming30c216.43$65 inLost-$65.0548742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Anyone's Legend72c201.73$145 inWon+$56.731,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Anyone's Legend76c200$152 inWon+$4810949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Anyone's Legend71c196.96$139 inWon+$57.6724650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked EDward Gaming35c179.06$62 inLost-$62.4747434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked EDward Gaming27c168.22$45 inLost-$45.4220154.7%110 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5900…45ebbacked EDward Gaming29c146.97$43 inLost-$42.621030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Anyone's Legend72c138.89$100 inWon+$38.8911762.4%73 W · 44 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Anyone's Legend73c137.85$100 inWon+$37.8563458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Anyone's Legend73c137.05$100 inWon+$37.0549346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Anyone's Legend72c125$90 inWon+$3548852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c04…7dcabacked Anyone's Legend71c100$71 inWon+$293560%21 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed Anyone's Legend70c94.12$66 inWon+$28.244544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked EDward Gaming30c82.68$25 inLost-$2512845.3%58 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Anyone's Legend70c50$35 inWon+$1524649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Anyone's Legend73c41.16$30 inWon+$11.167544%33 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming29c39.91$12 inLost-$11.642,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Anyone's Legend72c38.89$28 inWon+$10.8925154.2%136 W · 115 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x601d…7770backed Anyone's Legend73c38.4$28 inWon+$10.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Anyone's Legend71c28.26$20 inWon+$8.2679151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea0b…3965backed Anyone's Legend72c26.39$19 inWon+$7.391631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-53.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.