TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,495 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e32…ab65backed Under54c1,876$1,007 inWon+$8692,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Over46c1,421$654 inLost-$653.5112941.1%53 W · 76 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under46c535.17$246 inWon+$288.991,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca3…f975backed Over52c475.05$246 inLost-$245.992147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over54c300$162 inLost-$16211434.2%39 W · 75 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under52c200$104 inWon+$961,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Over47c165$78 inLost-$77.553831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Over47c148.09$70 inLost-$69.620631.6%65 W · 141 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b24…ba5cbacked Over48c131.59$63 inLost-$63.16933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c8e…b339backed Over48c113.98$54 inLost-$54.550%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost-$503850%19 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under47c78.84$37 inWon+$41.791,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under48c64.64$31 inWon+$33.6162649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x679a…9465backed Under55c30.91$17 inWon+$13.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under52c20$10 inWon+$9.61,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.