Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8e24149687d1976fb9f6a18f6f38625d5fe31aa6199c6938458b5d92eda5a0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moroccoof Morocco, Madagascar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Madagascar | 27c | 1,673$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.74 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Morocco | 71c | 1,403$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.78 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Morocco | 72c | 1,385$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.43 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Morocco | 72c | 1,263$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.72 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Madagascar | 11c | 1,034$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Madagascar | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Madagascar | 28c | 428$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Madagascar | 29c | 422.11$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Madagascar | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…0c07backed Morocco | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Madagascar | 28c | 243.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Madagascar | 9c | 205.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Morocco | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Madagascar | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Madagascar | 26c | 175.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Madagascar | 9c | 168.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Madagascar | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Madagascar | 29c | 151.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Madagascar | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Morocco | 72c | 149.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Morocco | 71c | 141.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Madagascar | 31c | 140.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Morocco | 72c | 138.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Morocco | 72c | 132.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Madagascar | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Madagascar | 28c | 118.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Morocco | 73c | 108.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Madagascar | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Morocco | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Morocco | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Madagascar | 26c | 93.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Morocco | 68c | 93.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Madagascar | 16c | 90.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Morocco | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…c160backed Morocco | 71c | 69.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Morocco | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Morocco | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Madagascar | 30c | 49.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…7368backed Morocco | 71c | 46.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Morocco | 73c | 31.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Morocco | 72c | 26.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked Morocco | 72c | 26.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)this page
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Morocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.