Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb185a18681fe106689b41b17ad74c2a1b2a07cfb613680451d4e3bca4c7ae832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 1,688$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.24 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 10c | 1,571$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 72c | 999.86$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.96 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 54c | 999.48$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.29 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 24c | 949.53$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.88 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 939.19$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.7 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 25c | 660.39$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 48c | 606.62$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.48 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Over | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.92 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 66c | 578.39$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 75c | 566$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 551$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.07 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 31c | 516.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 68c | 511$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 69c | 500.02$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 55c | 372.82$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.85 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Over | 33c | 370.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 62c | 321.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.61 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Under | 65c | 299.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 13c | 283.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 27c | 263.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 74c | 260$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 56c | 223.71$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 45c | 216.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Over | 7c | 210.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 14c | 207.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 10c | 177.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 30c | 171.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 168.4$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 45c | 159.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 30c | 151.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 71c | 150.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 30c | 140.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 70c | 140.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf5…6db3backed Under | 67c | 138.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…2a51backed Over | 11c | 137$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 48c | 132.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 58c | 126.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 46c | 111.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 26c | 101.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…6266backed Under | 73c | 99.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Over | 15c | 80.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…1e19backed Over | 40c | 78.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 76.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 56c | 54.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Over | 27c | 51.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 25c | 51.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 39c | 51.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 72c | 49.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…2191backed Under | 71c | 33.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 55 | 78.2%43 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 76c | 25.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 62c | 23.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…43d7backed Under | 68c | 17.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 4.5this page
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Morocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.