TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under47c20,852$9,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,751.1912146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0002835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c4,655$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under44c2,819$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under52c2,804$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.752,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over62c1,934$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.9445421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over62c1,672$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.5312248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over52c1,510$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.2744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c1,107$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.1410539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over45c1,096$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.1343826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Under3c1,034$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.022630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+154.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33014433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked Under49c1,000$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.663450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under54c999.93$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9640736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c956.85$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.474,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over59c805.08$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.086152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under31c749.38$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.4584738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over64c651.95$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.125865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under51c583.2$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.519946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over36c430.35$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4610744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under52c419.22$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6814526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over56c403.39$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.398955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under33c399.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13231156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked Over67c366.72$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.025549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over35c357.11$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.1231545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over68c353.91$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.542,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Over48c312.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.753366.7%22 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over49c303.34$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9523940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over72c276.3$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3628964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under55c272.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9722450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over71c264.7$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7635658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over37c226.91$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1623732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2221747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over48c220.34$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6123345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c64…5e45backed Under46c217.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-52.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.395549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under51c216.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3729232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under40c211.9$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.872,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Under44c210$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.86958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over50c200.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2226047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7984…638abacked Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11017042.4%72 W · 98 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over55c172.73$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7310050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c172.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.573,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Over50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.11758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Under45c165.57$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8512729.9%38 W · 89 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c162.82$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over50c157.46$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1738439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.063246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Over59c144.86$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8629463.3%186 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under50c133.16$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.588321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under52c131.25$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.771,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc003…f609backed Under79c126.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fda…8168backed Under62c124.55$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c120.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.591,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over60c119.68$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.011,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under55c117.79$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1984844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6413253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under56c108.77$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9120330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over54c108.57$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.945942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under56c106.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.922,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over57c103.51$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5135848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over46c101.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9134851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Over62c100.9$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3415240.8%62 W · 90 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5722746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under53c98.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5216153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Over50c98.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.29359.1%55 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.044946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over50c98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4941857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca09…d50ebacked Over51c96.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.083240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under50c94.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.784944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.968572.9%62 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.969235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3315446.8%72 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x564b…1e19backed Over49c81.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.853548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over51c76.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.477245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under33c76.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255228.8%15 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c74.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.333,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Over47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.312437.1%46 W · 78 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under49c66.47$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.571,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2897…0004backed Over51c65.01$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.013650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Under78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011563.5%73 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under59c62.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.673,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x332d…e0d5backed Over41c60.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.91428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under57c58.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.621,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef04…ab59backed Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e0…88a5backed Over45c55.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.53246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under54c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.612252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over65c53.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8246562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5716547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over62c53.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5269744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe662…8954backed Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.083138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over52c50.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.168058.8%47 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.55719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over51c49.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4115247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.