Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57d11f7ca46be9d84e373e99d255d79e9417a774e65c082fb6a9451c469140f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moroccoof Morocco, Madagascar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Madagascar | 33c | 3,294$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…ee33backed Morocco | 65c | 3,214$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Morocco | 50c | 2,797$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.82 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Madagascar | 51c | 1,373$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.94 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Morocco | 73c | 1,363$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.28 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Madagascar | 49c | 1,126$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.97 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Madagascar | 51c | 999.96$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Morocco | 47c | 827.2$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.23 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Madagascar | 49c | 602.9$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Morocco | 49c | 593.37$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.37 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Madagascar | 33c | 509.04$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.12 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Madagascar | 29c | 500.6$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.08 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Madagascar | 54c | 463.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Madagascar | 32c | 456$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…3176backed Morocco | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Morocco | 79c | 381.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Madagascar | 53c | 340.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.43 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Madagascar | 30c | 279.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Morocco | 51c | 272$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.28 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Madagascar | 21c | 242.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Madagascar | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Morocco | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Morocco | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Madagascar | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Madagascar | 53c | 156.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Madagascar | 48c | 155.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Madagascar | 49c | 150.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Morocco | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Morocco | 51c | 146.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Madagascar | 54c | 136.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…1422backed Morocco | 51c | 123.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Madagascar | 49c | 102.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Morocco | 61c | 101.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Madagascar | 50c | 100.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Madagascar | 50c | 100.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Madagascar | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed Morocco | 44c | 98.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Morocco | 46c | 97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Morocco | 51c | 93.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Morocco | 55c | 92.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…a782backed Morocco | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Madagascar | 49c | 55.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Morocco | 65c | 53.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…1ec3backed Morocco | 53c | 50.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Morocco | 75c | 48.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Morocco | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Madagascar | 56c | 42.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Madagascar | 46c | 42.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Madagascar | 53c | 40.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Morocco | 59c | 39.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…cf06backed Morocco | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Madagascar | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Morocco | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Morocco | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Morocco | 50c | 34.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…7368backed Morocco | 48c | 32.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…ecc5backed Madagascar | 50c | 30.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Morocco | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Madagascar | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Morocco | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Morocco | 50c | 24.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Morocco | 70c | 23.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Morocco | 70c | 22.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…7b7abacked Morocco | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…53e3backed Morocco | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Morocco | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)this page
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.