Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cfd9befaa785813bc2fe7dcabcbb762617ca057b348e4df7d5979213fbef387

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $476,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $279,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $476,300 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	1c	11,219$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.86	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	1c	9,907$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.56	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	7c	9,456$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.51	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	8,500$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.49	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	2c	7,583$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.99	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	4c	7,058$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.5	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9d0…542cbacked Yes	0c	6,800$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	5c	6,796$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.38	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	4c	6,585$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.06	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	6,300$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.73	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	0c	5,911$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.08	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	5c	5,653$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.27	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	5,410$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.33	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	5,175$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.93	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	5c	5,061$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.9	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	4c	5,000$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.5	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	10c	4,773$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	4,307$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.95	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd9…ff26backed Yes	1c	4,227$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.58	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	2cpaid	+25%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	3,994$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.98	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	8c	3,973$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.32	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	3,659$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.39	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	7c	3,655$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.3	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	15c	3,413$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.13	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	8c	3,322$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.43	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	1c	3,301$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.55	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	3,205$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.25	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	8c	3,147$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.9	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	8c	3,014$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.55	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	5c	2,969$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.17	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf37b…4edabacked Yes	1c	2,870$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.45	63	6.3%4 W · 59 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	9c	2,810$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.81	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	2,790$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.63	50	2%1 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	2,678$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.05	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	4c	2,513$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	6c	2,500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.4	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	8c	2,496$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.93	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d77…04c9backed Yes	13c	2,331$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.21	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2f…5418backed Yes	2c	2,250$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	8c	2,091$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.54	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	2,060$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	1c	2,005$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.7	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	8c	1,995$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.91	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032a…cf07backed Yes	1c	1,976$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.84	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x621e…b532backed Yes	8c	1,964$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.63	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	6c	1,957$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.42	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed Yes	2c	1,953$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.3	199	33.2%66 W · 133 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed Yes	11c	1,928$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.6	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	7c	1,847$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.22	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	9c	1,782$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.87	140	15.7%22 W · 118 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes	5c	1,695$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.4	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	13c	1,658$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.17	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Yes	5c	1,637$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.12	424	24.5%104 W · 320 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed Yes	1c	1,624$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.23	92	32.6%30 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	8c	1,597$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.62	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…38e2backed Yes	7c	1,500$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.01	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	9c	1,490$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.29	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa50b…9814backed Yes	1c	1,420$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b1a…639dbacked Yes	7c	1,399$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	25%10 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ec…c5d6backed Yes	1c	1,384$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	1,359$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.48	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	10c	1,347$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.37	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe583…2d98backed Yes	3c	1,304$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.18	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	1,153$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…1a08backed Yes	20c	1,153$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.5	73	28.8%21 W · 52 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+119.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd363…0f88backed Yes	4c	1,138$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe953…a4f9backed Yes	2c	1,110$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes	8c	1,108$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.58	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	6c	1,044$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.61	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	6c	1,023$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.73	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	10c	1,008$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.55	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	8c	1,000$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.34	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	5c	1,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.27	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	8c	1,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13d8…06c4backed Yes	9c	979.67$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.04	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	2c	956.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	7c	952.73$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.2	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe53…9917backed Yes	15c	941.9$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.3	79	20.3%16 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	931.58$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.32	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	9c	927.16$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.1	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	5c	886.03$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.73	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	15c	884.9$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.75	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	6c	869.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	7c	849.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.15	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa714…ab88backed Yes	8c	844.64$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.25	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	6c	839.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	16c	812.5$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	378	30.7%116 W · 262 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	5c	800.97$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.15	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	8c	800$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.6	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ba…d31cbacked Yes	6c	799.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaea…9995backed Yes	21c	764.57$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.56	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	8c	755.38$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.93	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x360e…c462backed Yes	8c	735.44$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.11	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa135…6085backed Yes	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-47%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90b7…ec79backed Yes	7c	702.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.21per pick	24cpaid	+58.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cc1…480abacked Yes	6c	653.6$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.1	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	6c	607.07$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.74	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	7c	601.9$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.21	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58a5…ec93backed No	80c	601.1$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.22	32	84.4%27 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	80cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event