TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Panathinaikos vs. Valencia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valenciaof Panathinaikos, Valencia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,468
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,468 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x664a…fc5fbacked Panathinaikos11c6,976$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.513336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Panathinaikos67c3,624$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.121258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe0…a3fabacked Panathinaikos23c3,400$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Valencia34c2,982$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.193735.1%13 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Valencia73c2,466$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.753053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Valencia70c2,424$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.7134344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8372…01e6backed Valencia78c1,858$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.452075%15 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Valencia32c1,787$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.876346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Valencia66c1,582$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.3437052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Panathinaikos24c1,223$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5413046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Panathinaikos17c1,136$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.492157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Valencia34c1,103$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7302100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+381.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Panathinaikos66c1,062$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6962556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Panathinaikos50c1,051$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.73063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Valencia50c1,022$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Panathinaikos60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Panathinaikos67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.993855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Panathinaikos5c899.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Valencia61c894.57$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.2414447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Panathinaikos66c819.55$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.95151%26 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Valencia26c769.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.427159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Panathinaikos58c691.58$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda8…bc90backed Panathinaikos16c637.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Panathinaikos65c634.58$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.481353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Valencia36c617.88$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.881266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+103.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Valencia34c600.89$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.43875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+60.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Valencia72c476.48$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6343543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Panathinaikos44c456.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Panathinaikos59c443.99$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.853775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Panathinaikos29c438.53$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3614037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Panathinaikos23c429$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6713545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Panathinaikos18c427.62$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.896744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Panathinaikos26c397.62$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick29cpaid-65.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc46…79c4backed Panathinaikos27c373.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Valencia72c363.99$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.111546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab7…d03cbacked Panathinaikos66c351.52$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321687.5%14 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Panathinaikos66c346.91$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.966338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Valencia72c343.65$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8921535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Panathinaikos67c343.18$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.922157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Panathinaikos65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8bc…67e2backed Valencia32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Valencia35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Valencia34c299.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Panathinaikos68c293.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Panathinaikos71c288.73$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe89e…d4a7backed Panathinaikos70c286.67$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18de…7c92backed Panathinaikos7c282.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Panathinaikos73c266.96$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1313147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c3…87aabacked Valencia35c243.7$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Valencia33c227.27$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.271136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Valencia32c190$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.21560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Valencia27c176.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.99560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Valencia70c171.91$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.051656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa48e…b476backed Valencia32c171.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.881450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Panathinaikos67c168.58$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valencia78c164.58$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6135234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed Panathinaikos69c159.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.083342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x728d…9964backed Valencia31c144.06$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick36cpaid+122.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x115a…98e1backed Panathinaikos69c136.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Panathinaikos66c131.33$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.688037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa7e…6f50backed Valencia76c125.83$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Panathinaikos74c125$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.53743.2%16 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d7f…2ae7backed Panathinaikos73c124.62$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Panathinaikos49c120.4$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.646747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d9…988bbacked Valencia48c118.32$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617d…7839backed Valencia28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Valencia62c105.63$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.625752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Valencia35c100.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c11…ef93backed Panathinaikos69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Valencia30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7027338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Valencia25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Panathinaikos52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Panathinaikos56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Valencia31c99.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Valencia44c97.53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.091225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Panathinaikos25c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Panathinaikos17c90$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.713740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1c…95dcbacked Valencia35c85.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.72564%16 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Panathinaikos66c83.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.322259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7c5…99d8backed Panathinaikos65c82.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Panathinaikos28c79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.79333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e93…2f9dbacked Valencia32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+61.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Panathinaikos22c75.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.421942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Panathinaikos67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Panathinaikos56c71.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.973036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Panathinaikos63c66.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.956642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb23…e454backed Panathinaikos66c65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8453…76bfbacked Valencia36c55.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Panathinaikos42c54.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9119748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Panathinaikos50c54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.155565.5%36 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e11…9f74backed Valencia74c53.94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.942454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc482…b5c8backed Panathinaikos60c50.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb252…26d7backed Panathinaikos20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2294…94cdbacked Valencia40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Valencia31c49.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.492360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Panathinaikos66c42.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.143348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Valencia73c38.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Valencia53c38.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183735.1%13 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-44.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4d9d…a8f9backed Panathinaikos68c37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x548c…763bbacked Valencia33c37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.