La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1034399ea8dc709c9528e6a7325c2f71ae606c657040fd6104cc553ac4e00fe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 79c | 21,268$16,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,801.71 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 21c | 20,356$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,081.25 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 18,360$4,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,786.09 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c3…6603backed Yes | 5c | 10,944$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,396.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 71c | 9,003$6,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.99 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed No | 27c | 8,531$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked No | 79c | 7,588$5,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,960.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 3,685$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.87 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 3,349$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.22 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 23c | 3,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 73c | 2,915$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.61 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 24c | 2,398$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.96 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.71 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 2,195$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.83 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 1,943$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.81 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 27c | 1,814$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.69 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 74c | 1,440$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.45 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 22c | 1,440$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.91 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 24c | 1,029$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.81 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 24c | 840$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.4 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes | 22c | 750$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 68c | 745.07$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.84 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 4c | 737.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.45 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 66c | 670.54$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.72 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 30c | 421.55$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 28c | 403.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 33c | 336$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.96 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 328.03$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.26 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 214.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.13 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 22c | 206$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 179$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed No | 25c | 164.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 75c | 142.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 27c | 127.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 79c | 126.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…2babbacked No | 79c | 126.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 71c | 113.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 17c | 106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 101.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 17c | 100.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…ef93backed Yes | 80c | 99.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 27c | 86.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed No | 25c | 80.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 16c | 76.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…acb1backed No | 79c | 76.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed No | 74c | 64.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 24c | 62.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc8…a9e5backed Yes | 19c | 60.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 68c | 55.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8018…0356backed No | 23c | 54.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 65c | 28.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2b…769cbacked Yes | 77c | 26.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 79c | 25.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 61c | 22.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88af…a083backed Yes | 74c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed No | 79c | 19.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?No won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.