La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbe3d05e0f7953a6f0bfdab4271b75e928bdac0f748dad7f717b526e0a5c32e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 30c | 3,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 2,625$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.74 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 1,981$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.58 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 1,909$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.84 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 1,022$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.64 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…865cbacked No | 72c | 959.99$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 644.31$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 73c | 626.02$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.46 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 32c | 623.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…63f6backed No | 78c | 581.96$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.58 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 23c | 503$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 312$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Yes | 19c | 285.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 216.17$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 215.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 15c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Yes | 8c | 181$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 76c | 163$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked Yes | 19c | 154$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 25c | 139.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c3…6603backed Yes | 11c | 139.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 29c | 139.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 64c | 133.09$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +9.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 26c | 119.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 26c | 117.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 35c | 116.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed No | 72c | 98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 62.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 73c | 48.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 75c | 39.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 67c | 37.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed No | 74c | 33.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2378…9a65backed Yes | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…7fd7backed Yes | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…02ffbacked No | 77c | 15.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 71c | 14.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?this page
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.