TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,940 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes51c58,217$29,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,907.8215034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No48c10,415$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,415.850249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c9,519$4,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,775.461,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No48c9,288$4,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,807.6398833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Yes53c9,055$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No47c8,511$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,510.6413645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…9b10backed Yes53c7,061$3,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,742.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed No28c6,532$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,681.271050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+43.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed No48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2501250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No48c5,898$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.79988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+75.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c5,269$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,107.183,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c4,783$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.211,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c2,807$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.241,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No50c2,460$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2303366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No44c2,324$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.1613744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No48c2,202$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.0814146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed No48c2,093$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.515957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes45c2,035$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9152365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes6c1,729$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c1,583$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.372,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No48c1,167$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.671957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed No57c1,109$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6611252.7%59 W · 53 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6613445.5%61 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No47c930.26$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.1592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No47c919.54$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.4468050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed No28c714.28$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+117.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes37c601.38$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.31838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No47c525.02$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2622658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd832…67e0backed Yes3c516$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.211244.6%50 W · 62 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No50c505.48$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.6240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed No51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26528045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No25c497.11$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.832657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes52c446.02$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.8811820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes72c420.73$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.719946.5%46 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes55c414.04$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7216250.6%82 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…e965backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c339.06$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8983650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c282$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.641,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No55c258.66$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.482844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No48c253.27$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7292254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51a7…30abbacked Yes46c234.78$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Yes50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed No47c212.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.863243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No48c209$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.685154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes27c199.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4260732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e3…810cbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No51c178.27$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.351,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No51c162.82$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6231952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No42c159.78$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9163553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes56c156.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7810634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes69c153.63$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2413243.2%57 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes58c152.77$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7441348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No48c146.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3133161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes67c132.1$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7858548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes56c125.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.283754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No48c124.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.599758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No49c120.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4915655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6026853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes54c118.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62be…444cbacked Yes48c104.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+59.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510049%49 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5316446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79e1…982dbacked Yes76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf449…4854backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4e…5457backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9f…b0d4backed Yes53c94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3350…9588backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d92…68e8backed Yes49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.13141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No48c80.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7320050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No45c75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2524048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5362…d242backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.120845.2%94 W · 114 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No54c64.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8914552.4%76 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes47c63.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.256934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No48c60.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.429054.4%49 W · 41 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes50c59.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed No60c56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.284376.7%33 W · 10 L+9.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+46.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked No49c55.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.545561.8%34 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4c…d843backed Yes45c55.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed No48c53.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.833450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed No46c53.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.726836.8%25 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce6…8e94backed No46c49.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06b…c1e1backed No49c47.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.231172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2119…9303backed Yes54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257060%42 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes63c46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9821139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d49…fea5backed Yes57c44.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Yes75c43.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.59850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206717.9%12 W · 55 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-44.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed No48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe61d…5f97backed Yes53c41.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.742040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No45c41.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7341323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed No48c41.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.342147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.