TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of BNK FEARX, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$490,928
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$562,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,928 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9024…a444backed BNK FEARX0c93,962$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.96482.1%1 W · 47 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-74%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed BNK FEARX0c85,977$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.741,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed BNK FEARX0c51,086$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1794134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T176c17,273$13,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,126.3959558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed T176c14,000$10,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,296.231,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4916…5442backed T176c10,980$8,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.474560%27 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked BNK FEARX24c10,607$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.643732.4%12 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed T177c10,195$7,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.5939964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed BNK FEARX16c7,130$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11076639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BNK FEARX24c6,479$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55559248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BNK FEARX25c6,078$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.762,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef24…f43ebacked T175c5,729$4,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.248847.7%42 W · 46 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX23c5,000$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.9944550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked BNK FEARX1c4,444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.442261.8%4 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick2cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed BNK FEARX25c4,109$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.282839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80e…a4c5backed BNK FEARX8c3,399$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6418442.4%78 W · 106 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfe…2ac7backed BNK FEARX12c3,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed BNK FEARX3c3,100$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9129527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed BNK FEARX6c3,000$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9855639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed BNK FEARX25c3,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4e…9516backed BNK FEARX23c2,784$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.212437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed BNK FEARX24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010239.2%40 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed BNK FEARX23c2,027$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.189943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed T174c2,024$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.279259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked T176c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48023252.6%122 W · 110 L+20.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed BNK FEARX23c1,950$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.4985836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe751…9af6backed BNK FEARX8c1,833$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025945.2%117 W · 142 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BNK FEARX18c1,807$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.343,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed BNK FEARX23c1,739$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.981,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX10c1,500$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1493,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed BNK FEARX11c1,485$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.491,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BNK FEARX25c1,420$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.52,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked BNK FEARX17c1,374$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.31,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked T175c1,338$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.0171057%405 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked BNK FEARX24c1,294$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1750242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked T171c1,228$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.091,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed BNK FEARX23c1,133$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.538334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed BNK FEARX2c1,100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322324.7%55 W · 168 L-0.6wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d29…8e90backed T177c1,092$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.0119559%115 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed BNK FEARX15c1,065$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.951,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ce…022cbacked BNK FEARX2c1,020$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.957129.6%21 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed BNK FEARX30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed BNK FEARX30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed T178c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked T177c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked T177c999.98$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9932457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BNK FEARX20c979.9$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.812,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed BNK FEARX23c978$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9447838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked BNK FEARX29c935.63$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.331,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked T176c933.33$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1448844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked T177c909.09$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.0952065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed BNK FEARX23c885.69$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20824235.5%86 W · 156 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed BNK FEARX23c877.93$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4457945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed BNK FEARX3c850$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed T177c849.99$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19825065.6%164 W · 86 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed94…c059backed BNK FEARX24c830$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.916623.5%39 W · 127 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed BNK FEARX25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021622.7%49 W · 167 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed BNK FEARX30c794.81$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.442,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad1…7653backed BNK FEARX26c769.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.961735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked T178c729.85$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.5750155.3%277 W · 224 L-21.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BNK FEARX11c728.74$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.452,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked BNK FEARX22c651.92$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4267552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec6…698bbacked T177c649$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.274047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed T177c648.81$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2344451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed T179c610$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13096149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x829c…9469backed BNK FEARX5c601.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.392516%4 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BNK FEARX27c600$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.192,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed BNK FEARX26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15054246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed T177c550$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0145366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed BNK FEARX26c537.68$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked T175c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3321965.8%144 W · 75 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdef2…98e0backed T179c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3311265.2%73 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BNK FEARX24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed BNK FEARX22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11041343.6%180 W · 233 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed BNK FEARX21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10517749.7%88 W · 89 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BNK FEARX24c485.16$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.371,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed BNK FEARX25c480$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed T176c470.58$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9462158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed T178c459.21$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.356952.2%36 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf022…1ae9backed BNK FEARX23c455.03$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.663312.1%4 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked BNK FEARX21c450.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6887844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked T171c438.96$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7340145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BNK FEARX20c420$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.012,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed BNK FEARX23c400.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2357947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd621…b9efbacked T176c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9625241.3%104 W · 148 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed BNK FEARX23c391.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2286943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed BNK FEARX23c388.75$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4149847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked T178c385.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1743453.5%232 W · 202 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed T178c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.621,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed BNK FEARX14c370.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8815632.7%51 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed BNK FEARX23c356.73$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.051,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked T171c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1135353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked BNK FEARX23c350$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.56640.9%27 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX24c349.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b55…870cbacked T173c345.32$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.322955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked BNK FEARX21c343.08$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.751,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed T173c341.43$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1949461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed BNK FEARX22c330$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.81,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed T176c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.957368.5%50 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed T177c321.86$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.861,02148%490 W · 531 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.