AI · resolved market
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f442120c3ed08229bb519f2d999d02738b22911b7ad7a43b0fb6aa51568f455
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $928,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $634,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $928,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58fd…43a6backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 44,466$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked Yes | 6c | 38,708$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.21 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 24,739$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.6 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…bdf8backed Yes | 2c | 23,818$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed Yes | 2c | 22,341$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.62 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 19,833$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.86 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 43c | 16,000$6,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,902.12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 46c | 15,182$6,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,955.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 13,301$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…9612backed Yes | 3c | 13,266$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.63 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68fa…b106backed Yes | 1c | 13,164$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 13,013$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.4 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…bbd8backed Yes | 21c | 12,755$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 25c | 11,745$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.31 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f23…afd3backed Yes | 10c | 10,687$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3012…2937backed Yes | 5c | 10,200$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae4…299fbacked Yes | 6c | 10,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 24c | 9,358$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 2c | 8,998$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.45 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…6378backed Yes | 23c | 8,650$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…fc32backed Yes | 6c | 7,895$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ae…1399backed Yes | 4c | 7,501$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 7,083$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…2d8abacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed Yes | 42c | 6,847$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 3c | 6,087$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.66 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 17c | 5,998$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.41 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…224cbacked Yes | 12c | 5,825$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…3c2bbacked Yes | 5c | 5,722$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed Yes | 3c | 5,517$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 5,516$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f27…256cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,506$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 5,223$4,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.65 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 3c | 5,019$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…26efbacked Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…784ebacked Yes | 24c | 4,874$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 1c | 4,491$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b3…9aafbacked Yes | 3c | 4,450$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 62c | 4,254$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.88 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…14aabacked Yes | 37c | 4,213$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd526…20a7backed Yes | 21c | 3,899$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 24c | 3,869$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.85 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d5…bd41backed Yes | 1c | 3,673$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…5f25backed Yes | 0c | 3,522$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…ed58backed Yes | 20c | 3,509$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 3,496$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 7c | 3,352$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.93 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 9c | 3,294$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.31 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…5305backed Yes | 23c | 3,247$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Yes | 24c | 3,233$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4506…3dd1backed Yes | 10c | 3,072$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…b007backed Yes | 21c | 2,830$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 60c | 2,741$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.12 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…425bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,705$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2a…87eebacked Yes | 3c | 2,518$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4682…4d40backed Yes | 1c | 2,503$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c2…735dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,495$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 65c | 2,454$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.85 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6302…7917backed Yes | 4c | 2,446$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 7c | 2,433$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.33 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2f…31aebacked Yes | 42c | 2,406$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…ac08backed Yes | 4c | 2,384$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 16cpaid | +248.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 23c | 2,290$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.95 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…089fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,260$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…743bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…7080backed Yes | 25c | 2,092$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 3c | 2,015$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…b94abacked Yes | 20c | 2,004$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…a872backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0768…fe5cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…0538backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…e658backed Yes | 23c | 1,963$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed Yes | 3c | 1,924$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…fd66backed No | 77c | 1,882$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…6108backed Yes | 27c | 1,868$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…faeabacked Yes | 28c | 1,815$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,760$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 75c | 1,745$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.16 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…1672backed Yes | 3c | 1,699$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…c16abacked Yes | 21c | 1,690$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…6fd0backed Yes | 30c | 1,674$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Yes | 6c | 1,642$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1c…92b2backed Yes | 23c | 1,636$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,635$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…e7f0backed No | 78c | 1,600$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…e606backed Yes | 28c | 1,570$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes | 34c | 1,565$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.76 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,550$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…fcfdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,536$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 3c | 1,517$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…611bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,464$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 1,461$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,425$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,418$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 1,403$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.4 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?this page
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.