Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1f70d0c6e787a5b65152935395d7e119aee7fa347d5da04c416b71351f89f91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dignitasof Cloud9, Dignitas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Dignitas | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.99 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Cloud9 | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.86 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Dignitas | 34c | 4,036$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.61 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed Cloud9 | 69c | 2,143$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.59 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed Cloud9 | 66c | 1,542$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Dignitas | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.99 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Cloud9 | 70c | 999.73$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.81 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Cloud9 | 66c | 950$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dignitas | 33c | 866.07$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.02 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Dignitas | 31c | 813.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.65 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…c191backed Cloud9 | 69c | 788.36$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Dignitas | 31c | 700$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Dignitas | 25c | 531$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.76 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Dignitas | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Cloud9 | 69c | 497$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.93 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Cloud9 | 66c | 495$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.7 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Cloud9 | 66c | 489.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.39 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Cloud9 | 66c | 446.97$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dignitas | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Cloud9 | 71c | 397.18$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Dignitas | 31c | 354.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.84 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Cloud9 | 69c | 353.75$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Dignitas | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 268 | 44%118 W · 150 L | -37.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Cloud9 | 68c | 312.5$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Dignitas | 30c | 311.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.2 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Cloud9 | 69c | 290$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Cloud9 | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Cloud9 | 69c | 202.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Cloud9 | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 677 | 63.4%429 W · 248 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Cloud9 | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Cloud9 | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Cloud9 | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Dignitas | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Cloud9 | 67c | 84.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…2ed5backed Dignitas | 31c | 81.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Dignitas | 34c | 81.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dignitas | 31c | 80.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Cloud9 | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…620cbacked Dignitas | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Cloud9 | 67c | 57.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Cloud9 | 69c | 56.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked Dignitas | 32c | 53.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Cloud9 | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Dignitas | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Dignitas | 31c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…d48cbacked Dignitas | 34c | 45.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 275 | 40.4%111 W · 164 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Cloud9 | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Dignitas | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…d6fcbacked Cloud9 | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 71.5%113 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Cloud9 | 69c | 22.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Cloud9 | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…29b9backed Cloud9 | 70c | 20.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerDignitas won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.