Lol · resolved market

LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb257762265803a3e33570f2bf540f5353b91aab895115ea71143382b7f6f0a0e

Rebuilt 11 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Cloud9of Cloud9, Dignitas
Resolved: May 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $99,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $125,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,635 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3186…e9cabacked Dignitas	18c	9,206$1,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,651.32	1,540	62.6%964 W · 576 L	+158.6wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Cloud9	76c	8,100$6,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,930.1	922	54%498 W · 424 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Cloud9	59c	3,333$1,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,366.53	510	44.1%225 W · 285 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Dignitas	15c	2,688$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.3	1,965	48.4%951 W · 1,014 L	+27.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked Dignitas	21c	2,672$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.28	433	58.2%252 W · 181 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Dignitas	24c	2,555$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.7	766	42%322 W · 444 L	-23.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Dignitas	18c	2,529$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.58	1,474	29%427 W · 1,047 L	+25.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Dignitas	41c	2,500$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025	637	46.5%296 W · 341 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dignitas	16c	2,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Dignitas	41c	1,916$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.34	484	49.8%241 W · 243 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Dignitas	17c	1,587$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.85	672	50.9%342 W · 330 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Dignitas	14c	1,525$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.4	1,258	38.6%485 W · 773 L	-61.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Dignitas	19c	1,506$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	760	30.3%230 W · 530 L	-20.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dignitas	15c	1,500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Dignitas	2c	1,300$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.76	479	33.6%161 W · 318 L	-10.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed Dignitas	14c	1,200$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	216	22.7%49 W · 167 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Dignitas	23c	975$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.25	742	50.5%375 W · 367 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Dignitas	29c	941.33$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.61	955	41.7%398 W · 557 L	-31.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Dignitas	22c	906.95$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.11	1,008	42.5%428 W · 580 L	-24.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Dignitas	4c	878.74$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.77	2,237	33.3%745 W · 1,492 L	-71.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Dignitas	8c	878.45$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.64	1,299	26.6%345 W · 954 L	+65.4wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Dignitas	6c	877.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.1	695	39.1%272 W · 423 L	-36.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Cloud9	74c	807.86$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.48	650	47.4%308 W · 342 L	+24.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dignitas	19c	764.98$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.98	1,603	42.4%679 W · 924 L	-18.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dignitas	24c	750$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.67	2,367	31.9%756 W · 1,611 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Dignitas	20c	742$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.4	759	42%319 W · 440 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Dignitas	10c	727$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.73	993	38.6%383 W · 610 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Dignitas	17c	711.76$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	376	40.2%151 W · 225 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cloud9	78c	700$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154	2,521	47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L	-34.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Cloud9	77c	646.83$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.83	579	47.3%274 W · 305 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Dignitas	17c	640.25$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.84	959	51.3%492 W · 467 L	+42.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9da2…4b3bbacked Dignitas	19c	519.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Dignitas	5c	516$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.97	2,707	35.9%972 W · 1,735 L	-152.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Dignitas	20c	500.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.19	712	49.2%350 W · 362 L	+14.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Dignitas	22c	500$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	608	47.9%291 W · 317 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Dignitas	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	613	43.6%267 W · 346 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Cloud9	77c	399.98$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.5	428	52.3%224 W · 204 L	+19.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Dignitas	16c	318.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.49	1,545	43.8%676 W · 869 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Dignitas	22c	312.61$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.7	2,910	38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L	-120.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Cloud9	75c	300$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	1,013	49.1%497 W · 516 L	+29.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Cloud9	80c	300$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.21	867	58.1%504 W · 363 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Cloud9	76c	287.08$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.01	1,939	42.2%819 W · 1,120 L	-46.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Dignitas	15c	283.23$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.16	1,912	37.1%709 W · 1,203 L	-115.7wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Cloud9	79c	269.18$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.03	1,239	37.3%462 W · 777 L	-39.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Cloud9	76c	268$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.32	732	37.7%276 W · 456 L	-51.5wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Dignitas	18c	253$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.52	3,159	33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L	-152.6wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Dignitas	31c	237.39$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.44	376	62%233 W · 143 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd8…7514backed Dignitas	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	356	33.7%120 W · 236 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Cloud9	77c	218$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.14	1,061	54.7%580 W · 481 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Cloud9	66c	200$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	942	37.3%351 W · 591 L	+51.0wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Cloud9	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	636	46.9%298 W · 338 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Cloud9	73c	195.15$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.07	1,599	46.8%748 W · 851 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Dignitas	14c	184.91$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.74	489	47.4%232 W · 257 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c6…ff7dbacked Dignitas	17c	181.32$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.13	230	23%53 W · 177 L	-19.5wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Dignitas	19c	180.01$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.89	1,831	17.1%313 W · 1,518 L	-236.0wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-46%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Dignitas	25c	152.17$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	422	50%211 W · 211 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Dignitas	20c	145$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	304	21.4%65 W · 239 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Dignitas	26c	135.15$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.35	369	46.1%170 W · 199 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Dignitas	22c	133.95$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.47	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed Cloud9	76c	120$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	423	69.3%293 W · 130 L	+34.5wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Cloud9	65c	120$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.68	1,671	57.9%968 W · 703 L	+70.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dignitas	11c	117.32$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.67	2,364	40.7%963 W · 1,401 L	-57.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Dignitas	20c	105.33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.62	495	14.3%71 W · 424 L	-70.5wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Cloud9	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	420	55.2%232 W · 188 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Dignitas	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	166	34.9%58 W · 108 L	-19.4wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7f24…b463backed Dignitas	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	253	50.2%127 W · 126 L	+15.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Dignitas	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	326	47.5%155 W · 171 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Dignitas	16c	95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	398	32.7%130 W · 268 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa1…a844backed Dignitas	33c	91.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Dignitas	16c	87$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.05	1,079	26%281 W · 798 L	-99.0wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x44ca…378ebacked Dignitas	23c	68.71$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	37	70.3%26 W · 11 L	+5.0wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Dignitas	17c	65.85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	1,372	48.6%667 W · 705 L	+57.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked Cloud9	80c	62.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	986	63.6%627 W · 359 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Dignitas	22c	60.68$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	1,577	48.4%764 W · 813 L	+17.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Dignitas	25c	43$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	1,730	29.5%510 W · 1,220 L	-123.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Cloud9	60c	41.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	282	50%141 W · 141 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Cloud9	65c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	1,175	47.4%557 W · 618 L	+42.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Dignitas	32c	31.7$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	618	49.8%308 W · 310 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed Cloud9	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	208	54.3%113 W · 95 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Cloud9	74c	21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.51	1,658	46.9%777 W · 881 L	-25.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee6b…e9d8backed Cloud9	74c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	200	57%114 W · 86 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe900…e125backed Cloud9	80c	18.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-8.6wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-11%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Dignitas won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 won
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerDignitas won
Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event