TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe900…e125

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT8347%39 W · 44 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$8.55
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$8.61
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+149.3%+$53.9
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$5.47
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$7.52
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$10.08
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT5050%25 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.59
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.37
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.31
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+525%+$79.77
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.9
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.34
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$39.99
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.94
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.56
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44%+$8.8
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+122.6%+$36.78
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$12.95
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$24.23
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$3.75
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$630
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,103.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Cal Poly Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+156.4%+$23.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+40.9%+$20.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$5.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.