TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof Team Secret Whales, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,067,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,296,952

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,067,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Team Secret Whales22c102,908$22,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,564.761,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Team Secret Whales26c88,482$22,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,761.7969741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Team Secret Whales1c54,485$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.222072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Top Esports75c51,757$39,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,691.0425546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Top Esports71c35,733$25,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,362.5911650%58 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x475b…02b4backed Team Secret Whales7c25,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6502653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Secret Whales26c22,222$5,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,777.4953750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4c…e850backed Team Secret Whales0c20,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802010%2 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-74.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Top Esports80c20,000$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00049541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Top Esports73c19,980$14,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,397.6848149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Secret Whales26c19,507$5,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,034.8290348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Top Esports75c12,509$9,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,146.9785742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Top Esports77c12,460$9,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,858.491,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed Team Secret Whales0c12,400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Top Esports76c12,000$9,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Top Esports73c11,000$8,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.9932150.2%161 W · 160 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa05e…4394backed Team Secret Whales19c10,456$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014360.8%87 W · 56 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Top Esports72c10,004$7,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,801.021,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Team Secret Whales20c10,003$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00057957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Top Esports75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50057246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Team Secret Whales28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80046257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Secret Whales28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9929443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed Top Esports73c9,589$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.0423672%170 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f0…d756backed Team Secret Whales9c8,255$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.411811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-76%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba38…fb57backed Top Esports72c8,250$5,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3107156.3%40 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-17.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Top Esports77c7,777$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.5625447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd436…6e23backed Team Secret Whales0c7,061$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.01911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Team Secret Whales27c6,234$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.8213452.2%70 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8e…814ebacked Team Secret Whales25c5,165$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.65128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51d5…79ddbacked Team Secret Whales3c5,150$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13410740.2%43 W · 64 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Team Secret Whales16c5,064$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.7941439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Top Esports74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30053355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x581d…b8febacked Team Secret Whales27c4,746$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.5370%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Team Secret Whales29c4,504$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.7525560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked Team Secret Whales15c4,500$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.0125944.8%116 W · 143 L+19.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Secret Whales22c4,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Top Esports73c4,120$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.1959554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Top Esports73c3,836$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.6228166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed Team Secret Whales8c3,765$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1744120%88 W · 353 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Team Secret Whales8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30058559.7%349 W · 236 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked Team Secret Whales28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00071057%405 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team Secret Whales27c3,554$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.481,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…be11backed Team Secret Whales29c3,492$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0072…88b6backed Top Esports78c3,282$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.293652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Top Esports73c3,194$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.381,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Team Secret Whales25c3,150$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.4897427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Team Secret Whales5c3,095$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked Top Esports74c3,074$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.6618459.8%110 W · 74 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Top Esports73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Team Secret Whales1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302522%5 W · 247 L+0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid-93.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa043…b419backed Team Secret Whales28c2,981$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.7510543.8%46 W · 59 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Top Esports73c2,780$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.136297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Secret Whales14c2,773$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.961,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed Team Secret Whales29c2,759$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80024658.5%144 W · 102 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Top Esports73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.7382953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Team Secret Whales27c2,593$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa2a…89acbacked Top Esports77c2,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.061353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01e9…03bbbacked Team Secret Whales20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff88…00e9backed Team Secret Whales5c2,492$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.481175.1%6 W · 111 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Secret Whales15c2,488$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.2130321.8%66 W · 237 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Secret Whales16c2,481$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.951,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Team Secret Whales27c2,424$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.2540637.7%153 W · 253 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Top Esports75c2,411$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.552,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Top Esports72c2,250$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9932939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e3…bf45backed Top Esports77c2,220$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick74cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8f…74debacked Top Esports77c2,215$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.55771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick74cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed Top Esports79c2,200$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46248763.2%308 W · 179 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa63…2809backed Team Secret Whales9c2,194$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.46333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Team Secret Whales20c2,193$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.0339447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Team Secret Whales25c2,184$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.4421049.5%104 W · 106 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f42…8854backed Top Esports77c2,105$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.52850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Secret Whales24c2,085$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.563,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Top Esports74c2,073$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.051,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Secret Whales25c2,049$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.7355844.6%249 W · 309 L-27.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x124e…1c58backed Top Esports73c2,002$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.5716954.4%92 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Top Esports72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Team Secret Whales1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…2d49backed Team Secret Whales21c2,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4106457.8%37 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fa0…ac09backed Top Esports77c1,916$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.69862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aca…4063backed Team Secret Whales28c1,886$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c4…eaa9backed Top Esports76c1,883$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.88850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a9c…f546backed Top Esports74c1,849$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.283066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd3…6635backed Team Secret Whales27c1,810$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.767839.7%31 W · 47 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4e…a26ebacked Top Esports77c1,778$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.95862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Team Secret Whales20c1,750$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35510746.7%50 W · 57 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Secret Whales20c1,694$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.81,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53f2…5343backed Top Esports74c1,690$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.4212236.9%45 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed Top Esports72c1,650$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46252650.8%267 W · 259 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Team Secret Whales27c1,637$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.9850845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Team Secret Whales24c1,588$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.5219748.2%95 W · 102 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Secret Whales16c1,576$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.292,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Top Esports74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Top Esports72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42010839.8%43 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29ee…a16fbacked Team Secret Whales5c1,500$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729725.8%25 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Secret Whales2c1,500$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.61,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Team Secret Whales28c1,432$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40156432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Team Secret Whales20c1,416$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.116956.5%39 W · 30 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Secret Whales28c1,400$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3921,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Top Esports74c1,390$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.335159.5%209 W · 142 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Team Secret Whales22c1,357$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9538439.8%153 W · 231 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.