Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0115a351edc7ae2cbc28aaa9b84f6b5a8a6046156e6799beca4fd6995608dc85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Under | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…4997backed Over | 11c | 459.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…7a0abacked Over | 60c | 416.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…ae93backed Under | 72c | 243.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -10.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 49c | 219.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 220 | 48.2%106 W · 114 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…f437backed Over | 58c | 171.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 40c | 150.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…c6e6backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Over | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 26c | 131.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 50c | 120.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 69c | 110.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…4a20backed Over | 60c | 110.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 48c | 61.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 46c | 61.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…82a4backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Over | 57c | 37.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 36.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Over | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 855 | 54.7%468 W · 387 L | +33.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…3513backed Under | 76c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Top Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?Top Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?Top Esports won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)Team Secret Whales won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.