TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,311 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under47c462.09$217 inWon+$244.913,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost-$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under52c294.53$154 inWon+$140.882,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over50c213.56$107 inLost-$106.782,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon+$108.3322048.2%106 W · 114 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Under33c200$66 inWon+$13416439.6%65 W · 99 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb84…4a20backed Over67c200$134 inLost-$1342365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over52c193.51$101 inLost-$100.688750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Under76c153.94$117 inWon+$37.3537754.1%204 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2682…4997backed Over40c149.97$60 inLost-$59.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0aaa…c6e6backed Over48c104.65$50 inLost-$50.1412743.3%55 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2397…55bcbacked Under57c85.53$49 inWon+$37.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-42.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Over43c77.53$33 inLost-$33.3413534.1%46 W · 89 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Over52c57.17$30 inLost-$3034743.5%151 W · 196 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca8…b713backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon+$16.3613444.8%60 W · 74 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over50c34.32$17 inLost-$17.1621747%102 W · 115 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c31.45$15 inWon+$16.3641749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over45c30$14 inLost-$13.512746.5%59 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5822…8dbebacked Over53c28.3$15 inLost-$155543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e0…b300backed Over56c23.84$13 inLost-$13.3512353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked Over53c20$11 inLost-$10.685554.7%468 W · 387 L+33.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.