TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

First Blood in Game 1?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof Team Secret Whales, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,772 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x53f2…5343backed Team Secret Whales77c4,075$3,146 inLost-$3,146.2112236.9%45 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Top Esports18c3,757$681 inWon+$3,076.03214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Team Secret Whales38c149.99$57 inLost-$5721747%102 W · 115 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Team Secret Whales40c149.99$60 inLost-$6042149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed Top Esports60c144.43$87 inWon+$57.7716162.1%100 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb84…4a20backed Top Esports62c137.09$85 inWon+$52.092365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Top Esports19c62$12 inWon+$50.461,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked Top Esports76c60.93$46 inWon+$14.6119168.6%131 W · 60 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Top Esports60c41.67$25 inWon+$16.6713451.5%69 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d1…a8eebacked Top Esports61c38.33$23 inWon+$14.954151.2%21 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Team Secret Whales35c29.92$10 inLost-$10.4796149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Secret Whales38c29.5$11 inLost-$11.2134849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Team Secret Whales39c26.11$10 inLost-$10.291,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.