Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fcc6e79315a25159fe021fda784d6fc3b8dbfcc0639aed6079199897161acb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 48c | 17,805$8,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,560.62 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.98 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 52c | 1,523$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.6 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Under | 49c | 883.67$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Under | 50c | 786$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 49c | 591.83$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Under | 49c | 587.76$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Under | 49c | 543.31$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.22 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 49c | 272.16$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Under | 50c | 214$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Under | 49c | 204.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 49c | 117.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 49c | 47.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 52c | 26.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Over | 52c | 24.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Dignitas won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerDignitas won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.