Lol · resolved market
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3613edfa229676cba3f68f963fd69cefe068c3e707c1d937d74c2390988d9d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Natus Vincere, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $510,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $552,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $510,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 62,220$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.85 | 165 | 11.5%19 W · 146 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 30,601$5,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850.65 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 19,776$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.65 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 16,348$12,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,787.69 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 13,256$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.22 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 12,193$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.81 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 11,893$7,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.01 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 10,313$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.61 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 9,638$7,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.79 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 9,508$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.32 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 8,822$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.61 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 8,502$6,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.4 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 7,909$5,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.76 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 7,867$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.85 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 7,743$5,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.98 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 7,639$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.2 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 7,305$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.51 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 7,169$5,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.76 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…4186backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 6,619$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.45 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 6,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 324 | 40.4%131 W · 193 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 6,235$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.68 | 308 | 45.1%139 W · 169 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 6,057$4,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.7 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 5,881$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.8 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…6f16backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 5,541$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.21 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 5,522$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.05 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 5,040$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.63 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 4,277$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.14 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 3,971$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.66 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 3,898$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.73 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…abb2backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 3,813$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 3,521$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.63 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 3,498$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.99 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 3,480$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.26 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 3,373$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.42 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 3,298$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.8 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 3,143$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.26 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 3,093$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.94 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 3,048$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.42 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,766$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.5 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 2,714$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.37 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,599$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.34 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,558$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.81 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,524$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.15 | 428 | 40.2%172 W · 256 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 2,252$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.85 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,197$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.81 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Karmine Corp | 58c | 2,057$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.46 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 2,012$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.07 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 2,009$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.82 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 1,981$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.92 | 530 | 47.5%252 W · 278 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 1,977$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 1,901$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.1 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,890$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.79 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 1,810$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.8 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,803$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.57 | 298 | 46.6%139 W · 159 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 1,750$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.97 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…0eecbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 1,737$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.66 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Karmine Corp | 69c | 1,689$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.74 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Karmine Corp | 65c | 1,621$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.41 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,600$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…2accbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,511$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 1,504$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.22 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd459…4757backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 1,492$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 577 | 54.9%317 W · 260 L | +24.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,470$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.53 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…633abacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,408$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e7…76fabacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,408$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,408$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.87 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,401$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.4 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,391$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.55 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,382$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.78 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…13ffbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 1,371$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.43 | 281 | 66.5%187 W · 94 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 1,186$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.5 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,183$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.8 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,176$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.38 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 1,175$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.61 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…ce30backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,105$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.77 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 1,102$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.51 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 1,082$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.52 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 1,025$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.21 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 1,013$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.28 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…aa5fbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 226 | 1.8%4 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Karmine Corp | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,000$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 998.82$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.6 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 933.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 295 | 27.1%80 W · 215 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 926.8$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.35 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 920.22$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.7 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 918.8$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.46 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 900$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 871.46$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.84 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13f…343fbacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 855.11$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.04 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 799.94$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.06 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 792.31$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.23 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 792.06$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.04 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…844fbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 789.56$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.