Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb32c3e19ddc2a4e88ee261746ebcf3669fcffd1f2d183b16479d6e7ae9175f58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 60c | 6,554$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.1 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 54c | 4,668$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.06 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 46c | 2,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 58c | 2,155$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.26 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Over | 45c | 2,016$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.18 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 42c | 1,700$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.72 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 40c | 1,498$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.36 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Under | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…269bbacked Over | 45c | 917.13$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 45c | 872$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.4 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 45c | 750$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Over | 44c | 641.93$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.41 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fe…111bbacked Over | 46c | 638.8$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 58c | 589.5$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.59 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e7…76fabacked Over | 44c | 562.96$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over | 43c | 500.8$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.93 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…8c95backed Over | 49c | 484.7$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 31c | 461.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.16 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 69c | 436.85$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 30c | 395.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 337.64$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.59 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 31c | 324.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 41c | 253.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Over | 42c | 252.79$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…669ebacked Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 32c | 148.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Under | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Over | 43c | 139.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Over | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…9a83backed Over | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Over | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 42c | 105.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 35c | 102.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…1d55backed Over | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…b58fbacked Over | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Over | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 42c | 68.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd779…fd0dbacked Under | 69c | 53.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 43c | 51.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 67c | 49.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 59c | 48.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Under | 60c | 46.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Over | 43c | 42.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 33c | 36.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 40c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 43c | 25.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 59c | 22.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 183 | 59.6%109 W · 74 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 59c | 22.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.