Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdce8f62d8b3519f02b145fa252dee47f5afe47c1ddfaae3755211a9c8cbae4a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 10,764$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.25 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 10,300$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.2 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 16c | 9,712$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.17 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 14c | 1,525$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.23 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 7c | 1,106$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 10c | 1,093$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 17c | 1,063$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.98 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…628ebacked Under | 17c | 652.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 22c | 589.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.05 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 17c | 514.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 80c | 477.57$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 17c | 462.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 32c | 407.55$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…2ed6backed Under | 16c | 299.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 26c | 294.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 18c | 277.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 70c | 270.84$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Under | 16c | 237.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…7309backed Over | 80c | 232.87$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 16c | 207.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Under | 12c | 203.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…2c49backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…8380backed Under | 16c | 189.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 76c | 175$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed Under | 14c | 163.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 77c | 160.1$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…fd44backed Over | 75c | 140.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7da…c572backed Over | 74c | 133.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…2e59backed Under | 18c | 132.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 78c | 129.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Under | 11c | 129.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…1177backed Over | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 19c | 125.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 19c | 125.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Under | 19c | 125.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 19c | 123.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 19c | 123.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 19c | 123.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 19c | 123.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Under | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 19c | 102.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 19c | 102.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 19c | 93.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 19c | 91.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 19c | 91.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 19c | 91.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…5903backed Under | 16c | 89.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 15c | 88.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 16c | 81.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 16c | 79.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 27c | 79.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 19c | 70.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…e1acbacked Under | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 19c | 68.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 19c | 68.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…c334backed Over | 77c | 66.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…0cb2backed Under | 16c | 64.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 77c | 64.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 77c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…c846backed Under | 23c | 59.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…70bbbacked Over | 67c | 15.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Over | 75c | 15.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.