Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc4823422eb954d382b593bb3f17ea2bfb0e5a5a8082a70e7c39121297324856
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris Saint-Germain FCof Liverpool FC, Paris Saint-Germain FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Liverpool FC | 8c | 12,176$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.54 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Liverpool FC | 9c | 4,344$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.41 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Liverpool FC | 8c | 1,888$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.76 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liverpool FC | 8c | 761.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Liverpool FC | 8c | 739.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e3…bae4backed Liverpool FC | 9c | 664$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…7bd2backed Liverpool FC | 9c | 630$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liverpool FC | 5c | 431.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Liverpool FC | 9c | 213.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Liverpool FC | 10c | 174.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…501cbacked Liverpool FC | 8c | 151.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Liverpool FC | 9c | 120.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Liverpool FC | 10c | 104.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.