NHL · resolved market
DEL: Bremerhaven vs. Grizzlys Wolfsburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc4840f72c1b2d7642e7d344bc29160eaae867bc891d41fef4f7a0562019571
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzlys Wolfsburgof Bremerhaven, Grizzlys Wolfsburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccba…ffb0backed Bremerhaven | 57c | 25,219$14,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,375 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14c…a90ebacked Bremerhaven | 57c | 22,922$13,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,065.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220d…085bbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 43c | 8,075$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff21…3d89backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…2adbbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…955dbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…3f9cbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 43c | 3,040$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a22…b3a6backed Bremerhaven | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…6226backed Bremerhaven | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d3…97cabacked Bremerhaven | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…0648backed Bremerhaven | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…6e4dbacked Bremerhaven | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…96f9backed Bremerhaven | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…d849backed Bremerhaven | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…e7cabacked Bremerhaven | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf857…219abacked Bremerhaven | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…341abacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 45c | 270$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d76…2ffebacked Bremerhaven | 55c | 260$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 41c | 250.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.18 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Bremerhaven | 59c | 242.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.18 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9990…c44cbacked Bremerhaven | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da9…5753backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 40c | 76.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 43c | 71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Bremerhaven | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 44c | 67.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Bremerhaven | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Bremerhaven | 33c | 53.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Grizzlys Wolfsburg | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Bremerhaven | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bremerhaven | 55c | 26.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Bremerhaven | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.