TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x217f…b8cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.22
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.84
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+155.2%+$57.27
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs eLITenergy - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.7
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs eLITenergy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.75
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.75
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+147.6%+$35.57
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$58.42
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+154.5%+$31.58
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group Cbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.07
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$43.4
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.71
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Flames vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+177.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+255.9%+$36.72
CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+489.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+489.7%+$73.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+94.5%+$22.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.