CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd4068e46ca82424c5405e48e5455b03acb67aa5257b85703486c8f23f5fd261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Imperial | 57c | 1,478$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.2 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ShindeN | 40c | 902.98$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703f…ba86backed Imperial | 62c | 806.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…615bbacked ShindeN | 39c | 649.8$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.68 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ShindeN | 37c | 599.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Imperial | 60c | 483.77$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.33 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked ShindeN | 60c | 385.49$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.2 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Imperial | 60c | 376.22$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.5 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d1…272fbacked Imperial | 63c | 333.9$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.22 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Imperial | 60c | 306.76$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.58 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Imperial | 34c | 255$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed ShindeN | 35c | 237.84$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.6 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed ShindeN | 40c | 229.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…1e5cbacked Imperial | 63c | 226.46$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.67 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked ShindeN | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked ShindeN | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Imperial | 40c | 192.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Imperial | 40c | 178.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed ShindeN | 40c | 170.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Imperial | 57c | 167.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed ShindeN | 39c | 153.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…f3eabacked ShindeN | 43c | 150.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed ShindeN | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Imperial | 57c | 137.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Imperial | 31c | 133.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Imperial | 38c | 106.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ShindeN | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Imperial | 44c | 89.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Imperial | 56c | 87.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed ShindeN | 56c | 83.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked ShindeN | 39c | 76.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ShindeN | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed ShindeN | 44c | 67.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ShindeN | 65c | 65.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked ShindeN | 71c | 59.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ShindeN | 62c | 58.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ShindeN | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…972ebacked ShindeN | 74c | 54.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…3c12backed ShindeN | 71c | 54.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked ShindeN | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed ShindeN | 68c | 49.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…b8ccbacked Imperial | 77c | 47.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked Imperial | 42c | 46.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed ShindeN | 41c | 40.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Imperial | 64c | 38.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked ShindeN | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed ShindeN | 38c | 37.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Imperial | 52c | 36.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed ShindeN | 53c | 34.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…5bbfbacked Imperial | 43c | 31.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Imperial | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Imperial | 67c | 29.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked ShindeN | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed ShindeN | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…5e22backed Imperial | 62c | 24.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.