South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c33ccec18e61a431a049008f4e3293d29c0ffcc7ddedcbc7e47c13c9a9a78c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,216$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 2,012$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…6f50backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 724.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 19c | 566.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.84 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 53c | 520.74$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 59c | 483.06$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.13 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 59c | 481.58$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.75 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 50c | 450.29$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 59c | 366.26$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.78 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 27c | 339.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.19 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Over | 24c | 308.86$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.73 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 49c | 250.16$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.58 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 44c | 229.56$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 10c | 185.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 58c | 181.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…7f52backed Under | 78c | 179.73$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 71c | 157.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 146.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 74c | 145.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 58c | 126.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 11c | 106.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…5e13backed Under | 10c | 104.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 40c | 98.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 95.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 54c | 86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Under | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 36c | 69.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 51.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…b8ccbacked Over | 28c | 51.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +177.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…23cfbacked Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 47.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 59c | 47.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 62c | 42.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 67c | 36.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 69c | 35.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 56c | 29.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 61c | 29.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Under | 62c | 29.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 39c | 28.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 65c | 28.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over | 44c | 28.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 61c | 27.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 62c | 27.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…c2e4backed Under | 58c | 27.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…3d48backed Under | 58c | 23.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 60c | 22.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…eab6backed Over | 48c | 22.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 57c | 21.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…6a05backed Under | 66c | 20.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 71c | 20.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 55c | 20.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Under | 65c | 19.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 80c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 56c | 18.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed Under | 60c | 17.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.