South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36fc2cfb91e59065596122b76fcf79ab0391348335de36a684f29749319fb4ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CR Flamengoof CR Flamengo, Santos FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed CR Flamengo | 36c | 9,750$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,239.96 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Santos FC | 64c | 9,023$5,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,772.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Santos FC | 64c | 1,306$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.81 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Santos FC | 54c | 798.37$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.12 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked CR Flamengo | 46c | 696.48$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.2 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked CR Flamengo | 46c | 628.94$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.63 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed CR Flamengo | 45c | 557.96$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…0ae4backed CR Flamengo | 39c | 531.83$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Santos FC | 64c | 483.74$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.91 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Santos FC | 53c | 478.2$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed CR Flamengo | 45c | 448.35$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.59 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked CR Flamengo | 47c | 412.09$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.45 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked CR Flamengo | 48c | 405.79$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed CR Flamengo | 37c | 395.28$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.03 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked CR Flamengo | 26c | 384$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed Santos FC | 54c | 249.87$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Santos FC | 54c | 215.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Santos FC | 55c | 210$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Santos FC | 64c | 205.02$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Santos FC | 52c | 198.56$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Santos FC | 55c | 185$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3b…b37fbacked Santos FC | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed CR Flamengo | 46c | 170.91$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Santos FC | 63c | 155.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed Santos FC | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed CR Flamengo | 9c | 146.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CR Flamengo | 25c | 124.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Santos FC | 54c | 113.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked Santos FC | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked CR Flamengo | 46c | 106.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed CR Flamengo | 46c | 106.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…c90abacked CR Flamengo | 46c | 105.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed CR Flamengo | 45c | 103.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Santos FC | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed Santos FC | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed Santos FC | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Santos FC | 55c | 90.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed CR Flamengo | 33c | 86.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Santos FC | 64c | 84.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed CR Flamengo | 45c | 77.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked CR Flamengo | 28c | 69.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed CR Flamengo | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Santos FC | 62c | 64.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed CR Flamengo | 46c | 55.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…e57cbacked CR Flamengo | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Santos FC | 69c | 48.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Santos FC | 63c | 45.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Santos FC | 64c | 43.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CR Flamengo | 25c | 41.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Santos FC | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Santos FC | 66c | 40.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Santos FC | 65c | 35.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Santos FC | 71c | 34.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed CR Flamengo | 33c | 33.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Santos FC | 76c | 32.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed Santos FC | 54c | 26.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Santos FC | 56c | 25.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Santos FC | 53c | 21.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Santos FC | 65c | 21.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Santos FC | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Santos FC | 57c | 19.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Santos FC | 59c | 18.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.