South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a3568022a27ad3d674c2ddb4110b9d00b27bb447c76c4dc4e4760e3235b48e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 1,335$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 1,078$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 575.16$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.86 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 36c | 403.13$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 76c | 381.89$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed No | 38c | 380.43$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.42 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 26c | 337$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 29c | 335.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.91 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 42c | 324.26$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 306.56$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.91 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 273.48$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.59 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 43c | 247.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 34c | 227.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 60c | 186.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 94.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 70c | 59.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 42c | 52.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 77c | 43.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…cfb5backed No | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked No | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 43c | 38.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc735…b72abacked Yes | 67c | 29.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 68c | 26.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 23.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44c…4b14backed Yes | 46c | 22.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…d55cbacked Yes | 50c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.