TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,414 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under50c187,482$93,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,740.9950553.5%270 W · 235 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over50c99,765$49,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,882.5341149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over50c97,000$48,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,5006943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under50c12,136$6,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,067.8717248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002065%13 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0003324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under52c7,667$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,707.111,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over50c5,981$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.2736649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50012551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under49c3,877$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.0924651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Over51c3,704$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.485248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over44c2,936$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.792,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25075049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over36c2,369$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.059,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over3c2,348$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.433112.9%4 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+339.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under51c2,175$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.344346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under69c2,102$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.453,21951.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L+148.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401,07848.1%518 W · 560 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over50c1,261$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.51,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under50c1,232$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61671044.5%316 W · 394 L-23.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Over51c1,224$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.995950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under51c1,190$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.341,24058.1%721 W · 519 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf43…306abacked Over51c1,142$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.361656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c1,116$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.21,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec4c…f5bdbacked Over50c1,001$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.711741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50021052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5007852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick34cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96ac…61e8backed Under48c968.8$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.782263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f7b…bc29backed Under49c902.65$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5001…e597backed Under49c902$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.02875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under59c898.43$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.985,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over27c822.43$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.256,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004055%22 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Under50c731$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.53956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under68c652.82$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.41,72850.4%871 W · 857 L+57.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Over30c625.01$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.61533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c604.03$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.0667849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Over50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c567.31$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.2365050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb03c…b352backed Over53c550.08$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.543935.9%14 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.517044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c484.7$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.21,53848.6%747 W · 791 L-5.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Over56c433.02$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4318239.6%72 W · 110 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Under51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.242962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ac4…a601backed Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1945341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over31c369.04$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.631,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over61c358.22$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5113256.1%74 W · 58 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over43c324.56$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0534452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over44c316.25$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.151,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over44c316.25$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1539351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over45c309.42$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2428646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under52c304$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.973644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.544348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8289…0bf5backed Under51c285.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.881250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over51c285.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.591,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x483a…4fd0backed Under80c247.58$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.018051.3%41 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Under51c238.1$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.674551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under49c225.23$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.122,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.646538.5%25 W · 40 L-9.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under50c216$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10821847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Over45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.79058.9%53 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.71,21250%606 W · 606 L+5.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over31c204.13$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.579837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010057%57 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under51c197.96$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976360.3%38 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under66c194.91$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2780052%416 W · 384 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9718151.4%93 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9714953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978652.3%45 W · 41 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under67c192.12$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.463454.3%344 W · 290 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Over56c174.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.552445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8de…a2b8backed Over20c173.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.652222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over50c155.2$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.67339.7%29 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Under48c149.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.577252.8%38 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under48c149.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.577746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under48c149.1$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5311245.5%51 W · 61 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe803…010cbacked Over51c142.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.671233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c142.04$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.146,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under48c141.28$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.478847.7%42 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over37c137.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2366749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Over42c136.9$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6855464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c130.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2312,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under80c125.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.461,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under50c123.85$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9330048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under51c121.43$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.559948.5%48 W · 51 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Under49c114.8$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.554434.1%15 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3552449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under51c104.79$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3538352.2%200 W · 183 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505250%26 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Over38c98.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1913818.8%26 W · 112 L-17.2wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x62db…d58ebacked Over50c97.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.992733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under48c97.72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8219452.6%102 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c97.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6432348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Under51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.561850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.555146.8%258 W · 293 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over38c84.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.341,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb49…a875backed Under75c78.97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Over31c77.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.972035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.