Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Luca Pow vs Ozan Baris
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe850a69787b9208f2a5a762474cdc39cf2d85a45dd572849e43bf039579a7c6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ozan Barisof Luca Pow, Ozan Baris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ozan Baris | 69c | 3,265$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.69 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Luca Pow | 38c | 878.89$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.98 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Luca Pow | 19c | 721.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Luca Pow | 36c | 557.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Ozan Baris | 60c | 325.78$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.31 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Luca Pow | 38c | 266.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Luca Pow | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c6f3backed Ozan Baris | 62c | 239.66$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ozan Baris | 66c | 197.84$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Luca Pow | 34c | 157.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Ozan Baris | 70c | 148.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Luca Pow | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Luca Pow | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Luca Pow | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…70babacked Luca Pow | 38c | 131.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Luca Pow | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Luca Pow | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Luca Pow | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Luca Pow | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Luca Pow | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ozan Baris | 71c | 107.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Luca Pow | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…6018backed Ozan Baris | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Luca Pow | 30c | 93.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Luca Pow | 33c | 79.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Luca Pow | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Luca Pow | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Luca Pow | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Luca Pow | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Ozan Baris | 64c | 52.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…8d59backed Ozan Baris | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Luca Pow | 29c | 45.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Ozan Baris | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Luca Pow | 39c | 41.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ozan Baris | 71c | 41.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Luca Pow | 29c | 41.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Ozan Baris | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a4…ffc4backed Luca Pow | 36c | 33.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Ozan Baris | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Ozan Baris | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ozan Baris | 62c | 21.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…8cd9backed Ozan Baris | 79c | 18.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.