Tennis · resolved market
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Kei Nishikori
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x543185817c701c2a90fdee3dcb7ee551ee81437725b957cc62ee2d85111580b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yibing Wuof Yibing Wu, Kei Nishikori
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kei Nishikori | 29c | 52,260$15,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,396.44 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yibing Wu | 63c | 31,465$19,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700.36 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yibing Wu | 73c | 23,654$17,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,387.36 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb9…01bfbacked Kei Nishikori | 36c | 18,974$6,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,770.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Kei Nishikori | 42c | 12,005$5,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,061.12 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Yibing Wu | 75c | 11,832$8,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.59 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Yibing Wu | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.96 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…b9ebbacked Kei Nishikori | 34c | 8,981$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.2 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Kei Nishikori | 32c | 7,943$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.81 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Kei Nishikori | 38c | 7,647$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.98 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yibing Wu | 62c | 6,416$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.1 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Yibing Wu | 62c | 6,118$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.52 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yibing Wu | 59c | 5,494$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.77 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yibing Wu | 65c | 4,958$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.65 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kei Nishikori | 34c | 4,770$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kei Nishikori | 36c | 4,327$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.08 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yibing Wu | 65c | 4,221$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.82 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…312cbacked Yibing Wu | 63c | 4,137$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.52 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Kei Nishikori | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yibing Wu | 67c | 3,975$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.66 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yibing Wu | 67c | 3,826$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.65 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yibing Wu | 64c | 3,634$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.99 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kei Nishikori | 37c | 3,267$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.74 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yibing Wu | 67c | 2,932$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.48 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Kei Nishikori | 14c | 2,773$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.72 | 148 | 22.3%33 W · 115 L | -14.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…0de5backed Yibing Wu | 62c | 2,448$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kei Nishikori | 23c | 2,351$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.97 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Kei Nishikori | 38c | 2,338$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.44 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Yibing Wu | 61c | 2,159$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.3 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kei Nishikori | 29c | 2,149$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.73 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Kei Nishikori | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kei Nishikori | 38c | 1,824$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.22 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yibing Wu | 68c | 1,792$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.86 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yibing Wu | 69c | 1,571$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.19 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yibing Wu | 68c | 1,512$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.16 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yibing Wu | 63c | 1,506$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.04 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yibing Wu | 57c | 1,458$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.51 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Kei Nishikori | 33c | 1,454$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.89 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Kei Nishikori | 20c | 1,449$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.35 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yibing Wu | 64c | 1,428$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.89 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Kei Nishikori | 38c | 1,425$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.33 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yibing Wu | 69c | 1,422$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.92 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Yibing Wu | 76c | 1,422$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.52 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8708…6adabacked Yibing Wu | 65c | 1,336$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Kei Nishikori | 34c | 1,241$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.3 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yibing Wu | 69c | 1,232$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.49 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kei Nishikori | 34c | 1,183$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.76 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Kei Nishikori | 38c | 1,151$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.24 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Kei Nishikori | 30c | 1,054$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.14 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Yibing Wu | 64c | 1,043$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.46 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Yibing Wu | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…92d8backed Kei Nishikori | 40c | 970.16$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yibing Wu | 68c | 877.43$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.45 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Yibing Wu | 69c | 857.6$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.55 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yibing Wu | 74c | 831.94$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.59 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Yibing Wu | 64c | 764.38$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.18 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yibing Wu | 71c | 763.12$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.52 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked Kei Nishikori | 44c | 753.66$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.61 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Yibing Wu | 63c | 750$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yibing Wu | 66c | 740.89$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.01 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Kei Nishikori | 46c | 736.59$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.66 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kei Nishikori | 37c | 700$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.43 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Yibing Wu | 64c | 664.35$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.17 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…270abacked Kei Nishikori | 35c | 653.7$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Kei Nishikori | 39c | 638.33$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27e…1732backed Yibing Wu | 70c | 631.18$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.25 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Kei Nishikori | 37c | 606.39$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.37 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Kei Nishikori | 39c | 605.97$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.32 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yibing Wu | 60c | 585.6$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Kei Nishikori | 33c | 581.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Kei Nishikori | 27c | 528.27$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Yibing Wu | 77c | 527.41$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…6e99backed Kei Nishikori | 38c | 521.52$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kei Nishikori | 38c | 521.07$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.48 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed Kei Nishikori | 37c | 519.59$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.25 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Kei Nishikori | 38c | 510.37$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.87 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Kei Nishikori | 38c | 503.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.59 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Kei Nishikori | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kei Nishikori | 39c | 491.26$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.59 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…893dbacked Kei Nishikori | 40c | 479.41$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.83 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yibing Wu | 71c | 478.04$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Yibing Wu | 70c | 473.56$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Kei Nishikori | 32c | 452.62$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 354 | 36.4%129 W · 225 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yibing Wu | 67c | 440.8$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yibing Wu | 67c | 439.44$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.37 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb812…3748backed Kei Nishikori | 35c | 436.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Kei Nishikori | 24c | 404.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kei Nishikori | 27c | 398.18$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Kei Nishikori | 22c | 394.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Yibing Wu | 71c | 391.55$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Kei Nishikori | 23c | 378.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Kei Nishikori | 40c | 361.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Yibing Wu | 70c | 350.71$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…3162backed Kei Nishikori | 29c | 336.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yibing Wu | 67c | 336.16$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yibing Wu | 69c | 325.87$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Kei Nishikori | 38c | 320$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Kei Nishikori | 40c | 317.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.19 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Kei Nishikori | 40c | 313.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Yibing Wu | 63c | 309.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Kei Nishikorithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Wu vs NishikoriWu won
- Wu vs. Nishikori: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Wu vs. Nishikori: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Wu vs. Nishikori: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Yibing Wu vs. Kei Nishikori: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.