TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,477 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c178,659$93,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,558.48714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-71.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c73,874$35,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,520.0414755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c34,938$17,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,835.8498844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under47c20,000$9,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,5201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c17,502$8,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,376.11283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+65.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c8,085$3,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,225.7747850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under47c7,964$3,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,221.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e19…59f3backed Under50c5,609$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4772…0a60backed Under49c5,313$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under47c5,011$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.991770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f24…68c2backed Over51c4,834$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,465.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c4,122$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.4522652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d0f…e601backed Over51c3,539$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under47c2,779$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.72933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee10…2c44backed Over51c2,652$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under48c2,150$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa28d…d5ccbacked Over37c2,079$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.36333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c1,998$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.033537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf66b…e6c2backed Over23c1,712$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-47.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92fc…2f25backed Under47c1,587$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Under77c1,577$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under57c1,238$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under49c1,200$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6186453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under76c1,129$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c937.5$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.54355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under47c931.05$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.497048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3571163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over37c675.19$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.825925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over28c651$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.22020%4 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c609$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.985558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Under69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Under64c570$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under79c461$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.912156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over46c449.72$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2084100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under64c390.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.992552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over35c370$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.58625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under67c333$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.523551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under61c328.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.828327.7%23 W · 60 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under47c319.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.142259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb74…3ad1backed Over30c316.2$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.86862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c308.73$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.542748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked Over42c303.11$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.132080%16 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+49.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x880b…a2d6backed Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under56c295.88$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.01560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a3…e321backed Under49c294$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Under58c291.76$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.547739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Under77c273.73$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.361154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under48c248.45$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.29257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under47c239.1$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Under60c227.97$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+149.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fe…6a33backed Under62c200.94$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under48c158.33$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.332755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under49c149.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.497162%44 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Under52c149.27$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over52c146.15$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764245.2%19 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over52c144.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.721637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over57c140.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Under66c130.03$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c38…13b1backed Under50c123.01$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under48c120$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over79c116.83$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.642588%22 W · 3 L+7.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x5a95…23cfbacked Under22c109.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+364.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over42c105.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.42646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under47c103.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.061275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.049065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Under80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208100%8 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.42951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over50c99.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Under50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Over50c96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over31c90$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.33060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d65…4072backed Under47c74.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c3…6031backed Under49c74.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under48c68.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0314951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Over17c66.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.532540%10 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over52c62.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2434937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a90…700bbacked Under67c61.07$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under47c53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.092147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over43c53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.796969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103318.2%6 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c47.13$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1632453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a4…ffc4backed Under47c44.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.791428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Over34c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.351533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c41.52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.768747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Under49c40.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.511070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+74%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Under76c39.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under50c38.22$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.022564%16 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Over53c31.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.571844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under47c29.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.812564%16 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+44.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Under80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.