Australian A League · resolved market
Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x176c4a43a7098b611952f02e4e9206570af4659fd308a6a9137fce016e63cf78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,537 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 904.54$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.56 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 62c | 814$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.52 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 259.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 68c | 106.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 55c | 79.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 78.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb012…0136backed No | 39c | 77.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 56c | 77.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 28c | 62.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Yes | 56c | 38.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.