TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,750 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c7,537$2,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,826.2198844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over73c5,843$4,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.681643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa115…6c5abacked Over56c3,488$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over52c3,129$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.1614060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under64c1,456$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.8123551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under49c1,251$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.5230954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under40c1,109$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over53c1,070$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over58c862.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.236946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb74…3ad1backed Over53c700.23$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.03862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under43c592.28$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0319849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under46c535$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.344843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over69c478.26$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.264753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c464.02$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0343748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under49c386.23$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under39c363.1$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…c865backed Under29c344.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fab…8850backed Under52c327.88$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked Over61c294$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.662080%16 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+49.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under43c255.81$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over49c228.27$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.982263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under61c222$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3112156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under27c207.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.118747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe702…cbdbbacked Over49c202.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Over37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+99.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5619345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under27c192.02$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7814755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under28c189.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5511940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under48c189.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0614951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under30c185.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.367048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Under53c177.01$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed Under58c172.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under27c167.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2732453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under29c125$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2513243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under28c112.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5410837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under40c108.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.42642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over68c105.88$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8810357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over50c101.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.752025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Over53c95.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.055935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under30c89.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.69257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over58c81.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.143754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over67c74.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.768100%8 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over73c74.01$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.981540%6 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under29c68.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.924454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under43c60.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.412236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over20c60$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over48c53.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.792646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over58c52.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172020%4 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under40c51.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.461631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-44.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa123…7126backed Under56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under29c49.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.362142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over54c46.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.615100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over62c41.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.87739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1160…b054backed Over43c41.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.431291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+74.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x20d1…0814backed Under49c40.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick71cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Under40c40.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.63060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under47c38.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.16050%30 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under49c37.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4410633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Under27c37.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under51c36.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.822748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under76c36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3611858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.212060%12 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under30c34.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.215129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over59c33.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8516865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Over59c33.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over65c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22588%22 W · 3 L+7.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa784…3605backed Under41c28.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x622e…1a89backed Over68c26.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over59c26.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.894100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+74%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under80c24.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over73c21.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.91955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over63c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Under53c19.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa260…7f53backed Under59c18.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x819b…6a57backed Over63c17.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.642152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick69cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Over80c15.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8031…c84cbacked Over74c14.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.