Tennis · resolved market

Roehampton: Alec Deckers vs Conor Gannon

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc428b10c6968a85401401bd98ad897796ee56e41031ba49fe11646db5b7e9497

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Alec Deckersof Alec Deckers, Conor Gannon
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $70,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,966 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2978…b511backed Conor Gannon	25c	10,651$2,668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,668.06	457	32.4%148 W · 309 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Alec Deckers	68c	10,048$6,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,173.4	639	56.5%361 W · 278 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Conor Gannon	23c	5,414$1,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.04	11,877	43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L	+19.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Conor Gannon	23c	2,144$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.39	8,921	42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L	-169.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Alec Deckers	60c	1,973$1,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$789.24	3,397	48.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L	-47.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Conor Gannon	45c	1,719$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777	1,750	50.2%878 W · 872 L	+29.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Conor Gannon	19c	1,636$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.3	9,267	36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L	-199.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Conor Gannon	34c	1,415$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.91	3,238	57.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L	+179.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Conor Gannon	47c	1,300$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611	336	36.9%124 W · 212 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Alec Deckers	55c	900$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.45	654	47.7%312 W · 342 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Alec Deckers	62c	863.83$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.21	2,882	47.2%1,360 W · 1,522 L	+39.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Alec Deckers	64c	842$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.49	1,112	57.9%644 W · 468 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Conor Gannon	46c	800$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.17	9,444	44.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L	-249.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Alec Deckers	79c	621.01$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.36	4,305	45%1,939 W · 2,366 L	+20.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Conor Gannon	47c	509.3$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.37	250	52%130 W · 120 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Conor Gannon	50c	498.07$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.27	4,647	67.7%3,147 W · 1,500 L	+308.9wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dbe…7833backed Conor Gannon	16c	460.87$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	151	15.9%24 W · 127 L	-10.0wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Conor Gannon	37c	431.75$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	1,579	39.8%629 W · 950 L	-34.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Conor Gannon	47c	425.63$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	316	55.4%175 W · 141 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x940c…6f91backed Conor Gannon	47c	340.43$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	98	57.1%56 W · 42 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Conor Gannon	32c	312.11$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.4	441	38.8%171 W · 270 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Conor Gannon	47c	295.74$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	1,789	48.7%872 W · 917 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Alec Deckers	55c	272.9$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.9	601	58.6%352 W · 249 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Conor Gannon	35c	257.14$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	144	39.6%57 W · 87 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e61…2f1bbacked Conor Gannon	47c	255.32$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	291	48.5%141 W · 150 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882e…e0a1backed Conor Gannon	40c	243.9$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.56	114	36.8%42 W · 72 L	-12.1wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0f79backed Conor Gannon	40c	243.9$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.56	133	37.6%50 W · 83 L	-17.3wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb38d…6735backed Conor Gannon	40c	243.9$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.56	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd812…203fbacked Conor Gannon	40c	243.9$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.56	106	36.8%39 W · 67 L	-12.0wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfed8…5339backed Conor Gannon	40c	243.9$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.56	115	39.1%45 W · 70 L	-11.2wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f85…f9f5backed Conor Gannon	40c	243.9$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.56	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66eb…a375backed Conor Gannon	40c	243.9$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.56	100	38%38 W · 62 L	-10.0wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-32%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81f9…d394backed Conor Gannon	40c	243.9$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.56	124	41.1%51 W · 73 L	-8.4wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfcd…e73fbacked Conor Gannon	40c	243.9$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.86	102	40.2%41 W · 61 L	-8.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Conor Gannon	20c	225.95$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.19	3,457	38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L	-15.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alec Deckers	72c	217.62$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.72	1,815	46.5%844 W · 971 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadeb…5850backed Conor Gannon	26c	207.88$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Alec Deckers	49c	181.63$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.63	1,060	40.8%433 W · 627 L	-26.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35d…102abacked Alec Deckers	72c	178.74$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.35	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Conor Gannon	40c	175.14$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.14	7,157	39.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x604e…2cb1backed Conor Gannon	15c	167.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	104	25%26 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Alec Deckers	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	492	57.9%285 W · 207 L	-14.7wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Conor Gannon	21c	162.38$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.1	3,303	40.2%1,329 W · 1,974 L	+22.9wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Alec Deckers	62c	151.95$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.35	1,522	43.9%668 W · 854 L	-26.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Alec Deckers	69c	144.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.93	176	54.5%96 W · 80 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Conor Gannon	42c	143.58$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.31	1,121	52.2%585 W · 536 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Conor Gannon	10c	127.28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.73	250	46.4%116 W · 134 L	-12.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Alec Deckers	68c	121.22$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.12	1,081	54.9%593 W · 488 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Alec Deckers	69c	115$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.85	1,903	57.5%1,094 W · 809 L	+107.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Alec Deckers	57c	111$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.89	2,076	52.9%1,099 W · 977 L	+33.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Conor Gannon	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,639	46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Alec Deckers	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	429	30.5%131 W · 298 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Conor Gannon	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	721	47.3%341 W · 380 L	-18.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Alec Deckers	63c	98.77$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.61	162	48.1%78 W · 84 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Conor Gannon	45c	94.85$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.8	1,856	46.8%868 W · 988 L	-55.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3459…caa6backed Conor Gannon	47c	92.61$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.75	267	48.7%130 W · 137 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Alec Deckers	61c	90$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.55	730	45.3%331 W · 399 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Conor Gannon	46c	87$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	843	57.3%483 W · 360 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe731…98c5backed Conor Gannon	48c	86.17$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.36	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0536…c50bbacked Conor Gannon	29c	84.82$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.46	125	36%45 W · 80 L	-10.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Conor Gannon	45c	82.49$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	2,179	37%807 W · 1,372 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Conor Gannon	18c	77.22$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.99	163	30.7%50 W · 113 L	+14.7wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Conor Gannon	29c	75$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.75	322	49.4%159 W · 163 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Conor Gannon	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,001	55.3%554 W · 447 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa177…4b0dbacked Conor Gannon	32c	61.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.53	145	26.9%39 W · 106 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alec Deckers	69c	60.43$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	6,798	36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L	-98.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Conor Gannon	29c	60$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	320	42.8%137 W · 183 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Conor Gannon	45c	52.22$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	519	42.6%221 W · 298 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Alec Deckers	67c	51.25$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.97	489	47.4%232 W · 257 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e03…aa34backed Alec Deckers	61c	50.82$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.82	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-24%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Conor Gannon	37c	44.16$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.34	213	51.6%110 W · 103 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Alec Deckers	70c	41$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.28	1,159	69%800 W · 359 L	+56.8wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4285…c6b9backed Alec Deckers	80c	38.75$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.75	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Conor Gannon	49c	33.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.22	4,407	52.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L	+66.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Alec Deckers	64c	31.84$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.34	647	26.4%171 W · 476 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Conor Gannon	41c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	2,571	36.4%937 W · 1,634 L	-21.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a4…ffc4backed Conor Gannon	47c	24.24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked Conor Gannon	44c	23.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.34	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-52%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed Alec Deckers	60c	18.13$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.25	231	55%127 W · 104 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…4b52backed Alec Deckers	70c	18$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.4	194	87.6%170 W · 24 L	+41.8wins	+0.22per pick	66cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Roehampton: Alec Deckers vs Conor Gannon

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market