TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,264 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes67c9,993$6,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,297.757552%39 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No34c9,562$3,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,288.918,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes57c4,045$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,73021251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes78c1,132$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.275,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+60.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c942.93$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.282,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No37c910.75$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.481,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Yes62c809.92$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Yes61c799.98$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Yes67c786.74$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.62875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No38c649.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6328231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7114335.7%51 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0004…a4d7backed Yes54c518.52$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607128.2%20 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No24c473.06$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7311323.9%27 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x864f…ebe6backed No24c469.71$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No44c404.98$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.196357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x333b…c557backed No37c399.95$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.981010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-78.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes74c387.4$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1384943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes55c363.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7646530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes63c353.05$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.059638.5%37 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes65c307.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.795345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Yes58c299.85$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No35c288.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.751,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes56c285.56$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.617745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes68c273.25$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.441250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked No36c251.75$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.632245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes60c251.68$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes58c233.68$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.681833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked No43c229.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes63c226.03$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.091,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Yes54c221.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19da…8cd3backed No14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No24c210.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4149535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes64c200.83$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.031,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes63c199.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x553b…2aa7backed No45c166.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.011457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No36c166.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8327053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Yes60c163.95$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.681250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed No44c133.64$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.61353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes61c131.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1577151.4%396 W · 375 L-3.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes66c121.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3794848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No33c119.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9135758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4801…295fbacked Yes63c117.78$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes64c116$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.768763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x957c…e019backed No13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed No44c111.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x364a…cbe1backed Yes69c111.25$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes60c108.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.332560%15 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x445c…c4f1backed Yes63c101.31$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.314959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked No43c100.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.33060%18 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd77…d379backed Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92e3…052fbacked Yes62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes55c91.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed No43c80.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ff…cf90backed Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.135444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…34efbacked No39c74.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Yes64c74.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.756857.4%39 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes62c69.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.411262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No39c69.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.298248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed No38c66.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No46c63.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3571619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No22c62.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No37c58.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7211664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked No43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No36c54.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6650746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed No36c54.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.795052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed No36c54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes56c53.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.782060%12 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+82.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c53.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.293,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed No38c53.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.342642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+80.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed No48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb7…2c57backed No44c51.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Yes55c50.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes57c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.78263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No35c48.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.061,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0b…94d1backed No33c48.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No35c48.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8131226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x077c…33febacked Yes64c46.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-61.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…f078backed Yes64c45.17$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+62.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd38…93b1backed No29c44.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa823…3327backed Yes64c43.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.685040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked No47c39.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.412050%10 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed No40c39.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.83253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Yes64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.068263.4%52 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes67c38.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.059363.4%59 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes62c38.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed No41c36.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed No37c35.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.174228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No37c34.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5567548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3229…4299backed Yes60c33.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.111850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0466…b3a5backed No47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15a3…7d94backed Yes65c31.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4988…d21cbacked Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…78d9backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.