South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5937d935a09c5c698856aef53b89139858c1862f47b181af79433887a31c4841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,640 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 13c | 892.31$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301c…241fbacked Yes | 13c | 583.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 21c | 465.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x364a…cbe1backed Yes | 12c | 360$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 79c | 322.44$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 288.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 64c | 280.56$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 76c | 188$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 176.9$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 122.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 115.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 111$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…c9d8backed Yes | 30c | 99.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Yes | 25c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 97.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 85.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 35c | 66.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 76c | 64.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 24c | 51.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 67c | 30.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 25.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 71c | 21.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-03-23?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.