TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $100 in March?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$418,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$433,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x104a…5b05backed Yes28c36,621$10,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,270.188017.5%14 W · 66 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes33c24,595$8,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,067.2663835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No77c24,114$18,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,621.9737745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes1c14,766$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.94163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Yes1c10,375$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f5…0138backed No58c7,674$4,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.811172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82a…9055backed No63c7,318$4,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,698.661283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb392…fc73backed Yes39c5,317$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.434912.2%6 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-77.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes8c5,064$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.836417.2%11 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+163.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes0c5,002$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked No63c4,500$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.6213053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed Yes33c4,382$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.7329126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedad…17b2backed No68c4,347$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.436250%31 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe930…1dd8backed Yes5c3,047$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162130%0 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1087…013bbacked Yes57c3,015$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.393613.9%5 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c2,728$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.581490.7%1 W · 148 L-0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…34e0backed No72c2,669$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes2c2,571$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.29320%0 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No59c2,417$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9837327.4%20 W · 53 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes2c2,305$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.28320%0 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No60c2,226$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.073839.5%15 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec3…3adcbacked No65c2,196$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fb…6cbbbacked Yes5c2,106$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd5b…605cbacked Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb34…a1cdbacked No62c2,000$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.812462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes23c1,917$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.078116%13 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked No61c1,848$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.622657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+76.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16f0…aba5backed Yes41c1,818$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.156543.1%28 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c1,798$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.36785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,778$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.221,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd629…1ee7backed No57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2feb…b324backed Yes37c1,743$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.342516%4 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ced…9ec2backed No72c1,695$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes4c1,692$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.821373.6%5 W · 132 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f69…acb6backed Yes4c1,668$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.971792.2%4 W · 175 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb593…28eabacked No70c1,521$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5abb…ea3abacked Yes60c1,481$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.86977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c6…927bbacked Yes3c1,326$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.071672.4%4 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b63…bb9cbacked No59c1,297$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8035…f36dbacked Yes8c1,278$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.062133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f4…9ed0backed No63c1,195$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.293531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-51.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes51c1,085$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.035425.9%14 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed No58c1,069$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.243514.3%5 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-77.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa928…c67abacked Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d7…238cbacked No63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3704050%20 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a44…5e33backed No65c1,000$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3473762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…0ef9backed No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2805100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes18c999.74$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8211533%38 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cc5…aeb8backed Yes35c959$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eae…3562backed Yes35c958$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6782…4699backed Yes2c949.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes2c941.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.13140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93d7…7423backed Yes63c931.56$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.3234848.6%169 W · 179 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7a…fa97backed Yes2c930.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1480%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked Yes28c910$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea5a…e6aebacked Yes28c880$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…cfefbacked Yes28c879$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked No62c823.68$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6813038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes2c776$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-64.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2b…d78bbacked No72c746$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8465…6cd7backed Yes28c741$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187f…a85bbacked Yes34c720.1$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.813339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d54…e1f8backed No67c708.18$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.853721.6%8 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+1,064.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes28c704$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick24cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes58c700$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053026.7%8 W · 22 L-7.4wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-52.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa5bc…2ad5backed No72c698$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked Yes14c668.24$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.493998.5%34 W · 365 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5583…8490backed Yes68c667.09$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No63c664.56$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.0116537.6%62 W · 103 L-21.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x33ae…6366backed Yes73c657.84$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b06…0b42backed No58c655.08$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.082231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be7…46eebacked Yes41c652$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f7…395ebacked Yes41c645$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x413a…0008backed No35c639.66$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.78633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93e…cbd5backed No37c623$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.253432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-41.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd6…3df6backed Yes7c553.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.44825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaec8…0f69backed Yes43c537.77$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6813…39e6backed Yes30c522$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7498…03b7backed Yes38c520.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2064…e748backed Yes30c506$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes2c500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2590%0 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf92a…9134backed Yes30c493$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked No28c460$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.24858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes29c451.3$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5831523.8%75 W · 240 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f66…a5a7backed No67c447.84$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.84966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b66…95c0backed Yes61c439.14$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.881566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ff…8c57backed No54c425.67$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6350…2f97backed Yes54c423.07$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0f…e5f4backed Yes12c421.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511650%8 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe652…d114backed No46c410.75$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.273050%15 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2edb…9ac5backed No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005448.1%26 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c6b4backed Yes56c395.98$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.874413.6%6 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…f3aebacked No65c383.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f8c…7ae5backed Yes43c382.45$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.911931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…d300backed Yes52c379.88$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.822412.5%3 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf969…e4a9backed No56c359.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…6771backed No59c338.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.932839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick29cpaid-8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc15a…9c74backed No32c330$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.11425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaa5…fcd5backed Yes50c329.67$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.