Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $120 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4d66bca11deb5316670f8f3fd0353683ed9d2e2e233baf2bc5e57720637d3a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $557,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $626,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 0c | 41,391$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Yes | 11c | 40,000$4,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,354.03 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 20,252$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.41 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 15c | 20,246$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 11,210$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 12c | 9,143$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.52 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 8c | 8,893$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.6 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…2a29backed Yes | 1c | 8,077$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 4,461$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…3d3bbacked Yes | 7c | 4,167$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 8c | 3,992$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.66 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 3,233$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 9c | 3,162$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.1 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,953$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 2c | 2,873$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 13c | 2,399$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.72 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 5c | 2,302$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…1dd8backed Yes | 7c | 2,229$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…ab1ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,979$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 9c | 1,947$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,907$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.59 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,903$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c2…e9a7backed Yes | 13c | 1,783$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…03cebacked Yes | 1c | 1,618$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…e231backed Yes | 4c | 1,536$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,434$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…2e80backed Yes | 14c | 1,410$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 5c | 1,393$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 9c | 1,350$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 8c | 1,176$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7d…413fbacked Yes | 13c | 792.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 2c | 744.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 701.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 700.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb439…7418backed Yes | 10c | 689.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…d300backed Yes | 15c | 666$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…2f8dbacked Yes | 2c | 628$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 10c | 611.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…01cbbacked Yes | 13c | 580.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked Yes | 3c | 510.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 13c | 426.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…9627backed Yes | 2c | 426.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…434abacked Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…0715backed Yes | 3c | 398$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…3515backed Yes | 14c | 360.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…73d9backed Yes | 14c | 343.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Yes | 18c | 328.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 14c | 328.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 12c | 288.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…308bbacked Yes | 18c | 282.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…afa3backed Yes | 18c | 278.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaf…10c4backed Yes | 11c | 240.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee36…4e84backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c85…755dbacked Yes | 11c | 210$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0f…95eabacked Yes | 12c | 195.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…c1a7backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9536…a69dbacked Yes | 18c | 161.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad8…3dc0backed Yes | 11c | 131.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264b…cf7fbacked Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…42a7backed Yes | 9c | 115.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…76eebacked Yes | 9c | 110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…b454backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c9…2afcbacked Yes | 13c | 81.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…f807backed Yes | 14c | 78.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a4…a548backed Yes | 20c | 61.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $120 in March?this page
- Will Solana dip to $10 in March?No won
- Will Solana dip to $20 in March?No won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in March?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in March?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in March?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in March?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 in March?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in March?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $100 in March?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 in March?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in March?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 in March?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in March?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in March?No won
- Will Solana reach $90 in March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.