Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9b3689f18821f4417a33d6252f32c143f5f80b1bde8f04a12996189a90eaecd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $865,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $792,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $865,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 8c | 89,390$7,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,215.16 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 9c | 42,825$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.53 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 6c | 23,859$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.5 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 6c | 20,976$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.1 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…552cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,523$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 12c | 16,560$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.37 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 12c | 14,599$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.22 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 2c | 13,396$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.32 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…01cfbacked Yes | 10c | 13,180$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.95 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -80%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Yes | 14c | 11,389$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 13c | 10,758$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 11c | 9,607$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.13 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…17f2backed Yes | 8c | 9,435$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 9c | 9,435$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.3 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 10c | 7,026$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.63 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 7c | 7,000$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.7 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…e197backed Yes | 7c | 6,513$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 13c | 5,705$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.68 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95f…106bbacked Yes | 7c | 5,301$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Yes | 3c | 4,687$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…4c22backed Yes | 6c | 4,659$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…d142backed Yes | 10c | 4,572$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 7c | 4,386$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.7 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c11…aa48backed Yes | 1c | 3,872$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 10c | 3,791$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.99 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f4…16bdbacked Yes | 6c | 3,577$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…3dd5backed Yes | 12c | 3,510$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 6c | 3,260$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,066$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.76 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,761$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe050…d7a9backed Yes | 17c | 2,648$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…51ebbacked Yes | 6c | 2,488$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 9c | 2,485$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.39 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 2,442$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.21 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 13c | 2,057$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.63 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,863$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.56 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…c65cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,739$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dde…2217backed Yes | 6c | 1,607$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bc…2450backed Yes | 11c | 1,599$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c5…ade6backed Yes | 11c | 1,571$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fd…29e4backed Yes | 6c | 1,557$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,536$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…f36dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,410$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…b7a7backed Yes | 6c | 1,317$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…0198backed Yes | 7c | 1,312$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Yes | 9c | 1,230$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 7c | 1,179$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 10c | 1,134$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 13c | 1,110$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd651…f760backed Yes | 6c | 1,028$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 10c | 1,009$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…7a07backed Yes | 11c | 1,001$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x619b…7000backed Yes | 9c | 995.22$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…9274backed Yes | 1c | 987.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…9b0abacked Yes | 6c | 936.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759e…70e3backed Yes | 5c | 925.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 6c | 912.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…5a5abacked Yes | 6c | 883.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Yes | 5c | 863.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…d6a8backed Yes | 5c | 788.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 12c | 787.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…2f40backed Yes | 5c | 773.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…e97bbacked Yes | 6c | 771.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 9c | 748.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561c…11cbbacked Yes | 6c | 745.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 2c | 730.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e5…e3cdbacked Yes | 9c | 687.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ca…66c2backed Yes | 5c | 669.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe774…5b0ebacked Yes | 11c | 649.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…4ab8backed Yes | 14c | 634.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e051backed Yes | 13c | 631.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 7c | 618.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…a18bbacked Yes | 3c | 593.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…1dd8backed Yes | 15c | 580.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 8c | 557.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7564…0a12backed Yes | 8c | 541.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292c…43bfbacked Yes | 8c | 529.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…67e1backed Yes | 9c | 521.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…0346backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…c902backed Yes | 10c | 470.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ef6fbacked Yes | 6c | 451.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0773…9fefbacked Yes | 12c | 442.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…66cabacked Yes | 6c | 425.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…14dabacked Yes | 11c | 422.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 12c | 407$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…1df4backed Yes | 11c | 405.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 11c | 397.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…b7b7backed Yes | 24c | 365.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ed…5230backed Yes | 9c | 364.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Yes | 12c | 360.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…2d77backed Yes | 7c | 346.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…3445backed Yes | 7c | 335.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc7…718fbacked Yes | 11c | 332.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…a855backed Yes | 12c | 302.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…701ebacked Yes | 7c | 302.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Yes | 15c | 299.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…01a0backed Yes | 6c | 298.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…4629backed Yes | 6c | 288.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.