TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $70 in April?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x06dc…4524backed No78c25,187$19,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,526.216253.7%87 W · 75 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes14c11,593$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.5835123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ceb…3cc1backed Yes21c11,292$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf921…be16backed Yes9c5,636$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.91429.5%4 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No57c4,402$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.5129126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x495e…9a96backed Yes3c4,170$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1340%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c8…9af1backed Yes10c4,008$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.231811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-82.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a13…f178backed Yes17c3,288$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.93944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+100.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x465c…e94dbacked Yes4c3,217$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.27160%0 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c3,134$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1528113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes2c3,016$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.664163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes15c2,764$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.9763835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ce…6da0backed Yes42c2,436$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.341915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e8…9cbebacked Yes5c2,394$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.22140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7942…d30bbacked Yes18c2,351$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.5110%0 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96db…e4fbbacked Yes13c1,911$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…1ad9backed Yes10c1,829$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.94195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick17cpaid-84.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes2c1,828$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.511490.7%1 W · 148 L-0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf9…1cc3backed Yes5c1,552$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.682910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa515…fd70backed Yes28c1,500$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-83.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd843…533abacked Yes1c1,397$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f69…acb6backed Yes5c1,255$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.211792.2%4 W · 175 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c6…927bbacked Yes5c1,252$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.831672.4%4 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes23c1,150$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641022%2 W · 100 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-91.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f4…770bbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Yes10c982.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b0…f834backed Yes13c886.6$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9100%0 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9907…b562backed Yes11c871.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.77244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-92.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea6…87b9backed Yes10c871.26$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.04933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e28…c577backed Yes1c830.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes2c806.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.878919.1%17 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff3…981cbacked No62c767.36$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6309…f5f4backed No32c750$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510560%3 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick18cpaid+122.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ee1…32bdbacked No32c750$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+97.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa18e…9ef3backed No32c750$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510475%3 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick19cpaid+213.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d6d…c988backed No32c750$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9401…ad7fbacked No32c750$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101050%5 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+87.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes23c737.75$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.596211.3%7 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-46.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes24c699.91$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.981513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+88.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe29…a8f5backed Yes13c672.86$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes27c662.87$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.9814213.4%19 W · 123 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe2…87c5backed No69c653.68$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.464759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes15c623.13$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+226.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc31f…91b0backed No75c550$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.51040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes46c549.99$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5651…66a6backed No55c530.23$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.466250%31 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe193…466ebacked No44c500.29$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…c8d6backed No32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5d…1532backed Yes11c317.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No33c301.27$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8531523.8%75 W · 240 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a0…22eebacked No32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick18cpaid+74.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb39a…abedbacked Yes44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a4…a548backed Yes15c263.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.842821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-63.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd297…2919backed Yes42c252.76$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ca…ea69backed Yes42c200.97$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4160%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b1e…cb96backed Yes46c200.49$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c1…048dbacked Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c4…0216backed Yes22c186.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.184436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d1…5840backed Yes52c185.95$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.071010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-78.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf34c…d441backed Yes25c171.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3008…5cb6backed Yes20c167.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.561338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435a…21a5backed Yes16c164.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No45c164.32$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.443948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0d1…461cbacked Yes28c159.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.091926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.27per pick53cpaid-61.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x58d5…d270backed Yes15c150.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed Yes24c150$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.517953.6%96 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x038f…ef6fbacked Yes13c134.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.550%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x749d…1fb3backed Yes58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.61560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe328…9f4abacked Yes54c119.31$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.435925.4%15 W · 44 L-12.2wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x547d…ea58backed No49c118.53$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.592343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab78…fac0backed Yes14c116.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3550%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf980…ce12backed Yes24c111.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.72140%0 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd13d…aa9cbacked Yes17c107.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8035…f36dbacked Yes51c107.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.152133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…9cb5backed No50c100.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.731181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+45.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf25b…2584backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f08…73a8backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6869…1528backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37100%0 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x874d…f711backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b8…c84dbacked Yes18c99.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.771030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffb1…573ebacked No71c95.82$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.791266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2db…6865backed No58c93.95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.465757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes20c80.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-64.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25b5…52c8backed Yes31c75.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0276…8454backed No70c68.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc199…c67cbacked Yes16c64.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.18520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb817…469ebacked Yes32c55.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaef…6955backed Yes26c52.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x980f…5b55backed No48c46.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.243650%18 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed No44c45.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.591838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x227d…1a26backed Yes46c40.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.449063.3%57 W · 33 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+41.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe4e7…17c3backed Yes54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked No77c37.84$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4b…7042backed Yes36c37.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b4…7dd4backed No64c37.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a98…acb4backed No75c36.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ed…7399backed Yes56c33.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.73955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d73…87b1backed No58c32.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab8…c189backed No58c32.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d75…b263backed No74c30.09$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.752871.4%20 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.