Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $60 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c968db20226a3d9aeebd1ccbccb2bbaa7bcab96a3db4dc2dde8f1520616fc6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 20c | 18,289$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,627.74 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 5c | 9,296$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.85 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 7c | 7,222$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.47 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 9c | 6,621$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.46 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 5,991$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…3cc1backed Yes | 6c | 5,602$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…e1f8backed Yes | 2c | 5,549$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +1,064.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 1c | 4,583$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…e94dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,442$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 8c | 4,230$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.74 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9af1backed Yes | 5c | 4,216$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.67 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 11c | 4,167$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.56 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,825$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 80c | 3,571$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.21 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 2,217$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,128$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 9c | 2,016$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,915$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 1,852$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…6da0backed Yes | 15c | 1,691$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 5c | 1,611$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,530$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…d768backed Yes | 11c | 1,507$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759e…70e3backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed Yes | 24c | 1,228$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.55 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…2922backed Yes | 1c | 976.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4645…f60fbacked Yes | 15c | 877.6$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…b562backed Yes | 2c | 859.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked Yes | 16c | 732.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 27c | 649.24$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.48 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 6c | 645.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…b594backed Yes | 26c | 625.26$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.69 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 22c | 500$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 62 | 11.3%7 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed No | 78c | 497.22$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…b265backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59bc…3d81backed Yes | 14c | 399.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 53c | 344.14$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.75 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…1cc3backed Yes | 4c | 319.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 4c | 261.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 76c | 254.06$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…b7a7backed Yes | 18c | 244.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e7…17c3backed Yes | 20c | 238.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…9df0backed Yes | 8c | 227.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 10c | 227.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6995…99f9backed No | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…469ebacked Yes | 10c | 130.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Yes | 15c | 120.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Yes | 25c | 120.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…e853backed Yes | 14c | 71.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bf…c011backed Yes | 20c | 51.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…a649backed No | 75c | 48.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…9652backed No | 79c | 41.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $60 in April?this page
- Will Solana dip to $20 in April?No won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in April?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in April?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 in April?No won
- Will Solana reach $100 in April?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 in April?No won
- Will Solana reach $120 in April?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in April?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in April?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in April?No won
- Will Solana reach $80 in April?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $90 in April?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.