Tennis · resolved market
Sao Leopoldo: Lautaro Midon vs Hugo Dellien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ac02ee09f51ef4ef5aff2cf98f25951dfb9f762a285710d760c0b74bb462b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hugo Dellienof Lautaro Midon, Hugo Dellien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Lautaro Midon | 8c | 2,733$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.79 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Lautaro Midon | 27c | 2,188$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.27 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lautaro Midon | 20c | 1,976$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.89 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lautaro Midon | 54c | 1,421$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.33 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…62fcbacked Hugo Dellien | 77c | 1,183$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.19 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lautaro Midon | 36c | 1,050$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.59 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hugo Dellien | 59c | 928.05$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.14 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lautaro Midon | 16c | 453.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hugo Dellien | 49c | 394.69$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.55 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Hugo Dellien | 60c | 394.35$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.33 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hugo Dellien | 67c | 362.83$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.41 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hugo Dellien | 70c | 336.61$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Hugo Dellien | 66c | 302.34$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lautaro Midon | 35c | 291.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Hugo Dellien | 72c | 232.54$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lautaro Midon | 15c | 231.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Lautaro Midon | 34c | 230.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Hugo Dellien | 68c | 188.7$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lautaro Midon | 32c | 184.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Lautaro Midon | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hugo Dellien | 45c | 154.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Hugo Dellien | 74c | 145.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Hugo Dellien | 74c | 145.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Hugo Dellien | 56c | 144.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Hugo Dellien | 65c | 137.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Lautaro Midon | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Hugo Dellien | 75c | 124.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Hugo Dellien | 76c | 123.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 305 | 55.4%169 W · 136 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hugo Dellien | 75c | 112.31$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Lautaro Midon | 21c | 108.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Hugo Dellien | 74c | 106.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Hugo Dellien | 62c | 91.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Lautaro Midon | 20c | 91.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Hugo Dellien | 77c | 89.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Hugo Dellien | 68c | 86.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Lautaro Midon | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 299 | 58.5%175 W · 124 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Hugo Dellien | 71c | 70.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Hugo Dellien | 70c | 56.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hugo Dellien | 70c | 56.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hugo Dellien | 70c | 56.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Hugo Dellien | 70c | 56.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Lautaro Midon | 35c | 55.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…f36dbacked Hugo Dellien | 57c | 54.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hugo Dellien | 52c | 54.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Lautaro Midon | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Lautaro Midon | 34c | 52.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Lautaro Midon | 38c | 52.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Lautaro Midon | 34c | 49.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hugo Dellien | 51c | 46.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…ac34backed Lautaro Midon | 50c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Hugo Dellien | 67c | 44.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Hugo Dellien | 71c | 42.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Hugo Dellien | 58c | 39.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Hugo Dellien | 69c | 39.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Hugo Dellien | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Hugo Dellien | 55c | 33.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…bfa1backed Hugo Dellien | 63c | 31.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Hugo Dellien | 67c | 29.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Hugo Dellien | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Hugo Dellien | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…5d40backed Lautaro Midon | 53c | 24.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Hugo Dellien | 70c | 21.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Hugo Dellien | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Hugo Dellien | 76c | 19.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Hugo Dellien | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sao Leopoldo: Lautaro Midon vs Hugo Dellienthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Midon vs DellienDellien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.